TSLANeutralexpired
Jo BhakdiTarget Price
$160
“I think 160 is a strategic bottom but huge resistance to the downside”@ 0:08 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishTesla is undervalued relative to its future TAMs, with $160 as a strategic bottom providing significant downside support, and it remains cheaper than OpenAI, Anthropic, Nvidia and Microsoft despite superior future opportunities.
Key arguments
- $160 is a strategic bottom with huge resistance to the downside.
- All competitors have already exceeded their previous highs.
- Even at $400 Tesla would trade below OpenAI/Anthropic and half Nvidia.
- Microsoft has vastly smaller future TAMs than Tesla at similar valuation.
The call
- Date said
- Jun 2, 2024
- Timeframe
- floor level
- Price at prediction
- $176.29
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- expired
- Resolution price
- $400.62
- Return
- +127.3%
- Notes
- Missing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $400.62.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Missing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $400.62.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Stated as a strategic floor with supporting downside resistance argument.