Behind the video
Why Tesla Stock Could Be MASSIVELY Undervalued On a 90 Day Basis
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBullishStrength: 90%
Overall Thesis
Bhakdi argues Tesla's recent 14% drop from the Trump-Elon feud was manufactured news to be ignored, and that his DCF model shows current fair value of $616 now and $711 by September, implying 95-125% upside over the next 90 days. The Austin robotaxi launch is the imminent catalyst.
Narratives
TSLATeslaTesla is massively undervalued on a 90-day basis with fair value at $616 today and $711 by September, implying an immediate 95% upside and 125% upside by September as the Austin robotaxi launch acts as the catalyst.
Key Arguments
- The Trump-Elon feud was manufactured or phony, already resolved by Trump signaling peace.
- Austin robotaxi commercial launch is imminent, possibly this Thursday.
- DCF model gives $806 fair value by end of 2025 assuming 100,000 robotaxis by end of 2026.
- Current $320 represents a 50% discount vs fair value of $616.
- 5% of 2024 free cash flow is the forcing function threshold at which analysts must upgrade price targets.
- Once 5% hit, Wall Street accepts $1,500-$2,500 targets and stock goes beyond $1,000.
Risks acknowledged
- Conservative analysts will think these assumptions are crazy.
- The entire thesis hinges on reaching 100,000 robotaxis within 18 months.
- The 5% threshold is gut-feel — it could be 3%, 7%, or more.
Analyzed with manual_claude_session | Extraction manual_v1 | Cost: —