How Tesla Stock is SETTING UP For Next Week (Nov 6th!)
Overall SentimentBullishStrength: 65%
Overall Thesis
Bhakdi recaps his 410-460 Tesla trading channel prediction that played out this week. He sees no major Q4 catalysts after earnings revealed Optimus V3 reveal is Q1 2026 and Cybercab ramps in second half 2026. Expects November 6 shareholder meeting to be sell-the-news. Sticks to Tesla chugging along with beta-2 market moves. If NASDAQ rallies 5% year-end, Tesla hits 490-500 with no effort.
Narratives
TSLATesla
BullishTesla is in a 410-460 sideways channel with Nov 6 meeting likely sell-the-news. Q4 has confidence but no catalysts - Optimus V3 reveal moved to Q1 2026, Cybercab scaling second half 2026, May 2026 robotaxi inflection confirmed. If NASDAQ rallies 5% year-end, Tesla hits 490-500 on beta alone. Long-term core position intact.
Key Arguments
- Trading channel 410-460 held through the week
- Earnings confirmed inflection point pathway with May 2026 FCF inflection
- Optimus V3 reveal pushed to Q1 2026 not Nov 6
- Cybercab scaling second half 2026 confirmed
- Austin safety drivers removed by end of year (December likely)
- If NASDAQ rallies 5% to year-end, Tesla hits 490-500 on beta of 2
- Not much likely to happen at Nov 6 shareholder meeting - sell the news
- Bhakdi long-term core position intact, moved from leaps back to stocks
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