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Tesla Stock Price Analysis | Top $TSLA Levels To Watch for September 17th, 2026

The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Wicked StocksWicked StocksSep 16, 2026Watch on YouTube
Overall SentimentBearishStrength: 85%

Overall Thesis

Tesla is in a long-term downtrend below the 389.75 channel bottom with multiple downside targets anticipated over the next 3-5 months, though near-term support levels exist at 285 and 228.83.

Narratives

TSLATesla
Bearish

The analyst views Tesla as bearish for the remainder of 2026 after the stock broke below key long-term channel support, and believes there is no reason to be long unless price reclaims that broken level. He outlines a longer-term bullish scenario only if Tesla can break out above upside resistance, but says that condition has not yet been met.

Key Arguments

  • TSLA closed below the 389.75 long-term channel bottom, triggering a longer-term sell signal
  • Recent break below near-term trend support reinforces the case for further downside through the rest of the year
  • A sustained close above 408.56 would flip the outlook to long-term bullish

Risks acknowledged

  • A counter-trend rally already played out off descending channel support in the mid-280s
  • A close back above 389.75 would be a buy signal into the following week

Predictions (2)

BullTarget: $545over the following 3 to 5 months
pendingDetails
"you're buying strength above 40865 and under that scenario I'm expecting the 540s 550s over the following 3 to 5 months."
Bearthrough the rest of the year
Not scoredDetails
"I see no compelling reason to be long Tesla through the rest of the year unless we close back above 38975."

Hedges & Caveats

  • Analysis is technical-based with multiple timeframe scenarios (day trading, swing trading, long-term)
  • Upside scenarios exist if price closes above 368.18 or 365.59, which would signal strength and potential retest of 389.75
  • Support levels are conditional on price action and may not hold
  • Long-term sell signal is contingent on closure below 389.75 two months ago
  • Multiple targets provided across different timeframes (days, weeks, months) with varying confidence levels
Analyzed with claude-sonnet-5 | Extraction v1.0.0 | Cost: $0.08