BIG MOVE COMING IN THE STOCK MARKET.. (Tesla Stock)
Overall Thesis
Retail investors stayed sidelined during the Iran war and are about to return, fueling the next leg higher. Agrees with Tom Lee that post-2026 we're entering an 18-24 month period that could be 'one of the best we've ever seen in our life'. The S&P is up 30%+ over the next year. Dispersion will be high — tech, consumer cyclicals, financials, communication services outperform; industrials, staples, energy, utilities, healthcare lag.
Narratives
Named as a technology buy at current levels — 'you haven't been able to buy this cheap in a very long time'. Recommended for long-term holding through midterm volatility.
Key Arguments
- Tech infrastructure group (MSFT, PLTR, Palo Alto, Crowdstrike, Synopsys, Fortnet) doing well while mag 7 lags
- Down 20%+ from individual highs even as the index is near record
Predictions (1)
Agrees with Tom Lee that once the market digests Fed-chair transition and midterm noise, the US enters an 18-24 month rally that could be one of the best in a lifetime. The S&P is up 30%+ over the next year. Midterm-year turbulence through November 2026 is the buying opportunity.
Key Arguments
- S&P just printed 12 consecutive green days; velocity suggests 30%+ upside over the next year
- Retail investors de-risked during the Iran war and are now re-entering
- US multiple should re-rate higher: supply-chain resilience exposed, innovation concentrated in US
- Historical midterm-cycle + post-aggressive-rally precedent both point up
- Earnings estimates higher; consumer in better shape than headlines imply (Tom Lee)
Predictions (1)
Hedges & Caveats
- Headline S&P level doesn't look as attractive as individual opportunities
- Expect policy and Fed-chair turbulence in 2026 before the real rally
- Midterm-year volatility through November