Behind the video
How I POSITION My Tesla Stocks and LEAPS Before June For MAXIMUM ALPHA
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBullishStrength: 90%
Overall Thesis
Jo Bhakdi walks through scenario-based Tesla stock positioning into the June robotaxi launch, advocating partial LEAP trim on a pre-launch runup to mitigate time-decay risk while holding strong long-term conviction. He reaffirms his $11,000 by 2030 price target and a conditional $480 end-of-June target in the fast-rollout scenario.
Narratives
TSLATeslaRobotaxi launch in June is not priced in and has enormous asymmetric upside; in the fast scenario robotaxi alone could drive $30B of 2027 EBITDA and reprice the stock sharply higher.
Key Arguments
- Long-term Tesla price target of $11,000 by 2030 if the trajectory continues.
- Robotaxi fast scenario could deliver $30B EBITDA in 2027; slow scenario still exceeds Tesla's 2024 EBITDA.
- Tactical playbook: reduce LEAPS by up to 50% on a pre-launch runup to limit time decay, then redeploy once rollout trajectory is confirmed.
- Wall Street is not pricing robotaxi into 24-month cash flow, creating alpha.
Risks acknowledged
- Hiccup scenario could trigger ~20% selloff.
- LEAPS premium decay can destroy capital even if the directional call is right.
- Sell-the-news selloffs are likely across several rollout trajectories.
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