Behind the video
Can Lucid Squeeze? 📈 Q2 Numbers Release Date & Potential Breakout Analysis 💥
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBullishStrength: 60%
Overall Thesis
Lucid's Q2 production and delivery numbers (expected mid-next-week) combined with its extreme short interest set the stage for a potential squeeze if numbers surprise to the upside.
Narratives
LCIDLucid MotorsThe speaker expects Lucid Q2 production and delivery numbers around July 9-10 (Tuesday-Wednesday), with a minimum bar of 2,100 deliveries needed to impress the market. With 28.9% of the float shorted, Lucid regularly ranks as one of the top 5 most heavily shorted stocks in the entire market — not just EVs. The EV sector appears to be bottoming (exemplified by Rivian's Volkswagen deal), and a delivery beat could ignite a short squeeze.
Key Arguments
- Q2 numbers expected Tuesday or Wednesday next week — minimum 2,100 deliveries needed
- 28.9% of float shorted with 96.33% utilization — extreme squeeze potential
- The bar is so low that any delivery beat creates a disproportionate positive surprise
- EV sector appears to be bottoming; Rivian/VW deal signals institutional bottom-fishing
- Institutions bought Lucid heavily on secondary market yesterday — 10.4M in large transactions
- Technicals: flirting with 50-day moving average with bullish stochastic deviation
Risks acknowledged
- Market will focus on Gravity announcements at earnings more than delivery numbers
- Speaker was wrong predicting fewer institutional buys in Q3 — acknowledges institutional interest remains
Predictions (1)
Bull
Not scoredDetails
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