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Oracle (ORCL)

Asset spotlight

What was said about Oracle

Creator calls, with the evidence to check them.

ORCL · latest price

$116.10

as of 23h ago

The YouTube conversation

What are creators saying?

Selected calls on file
Recorded calls
20
YouTube channels
5
Pending outcomes
1
  • 8 bullish
  • 11 bearish
  • 1 no direction

30 / 90 days · price direction

Directional track record

Did price move in the direction of the call?

Separate from forecast accuracy.

30-day window

Direction matched: 36%

4 matched

of 11 observed calls

1 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
4
Moved opposite
7
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
1
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
-3.3%
Published calls on file
20
Excluded from this measurement
6
Additional calls grouped
2

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Meet Kevin · ORCLMoved opposite

    Bullish call · published Oct 2, 2026

    Entry close · Oct 5, 2026
    $142.48
    End close · Nov 4, 2026
    $123.73

    Price change -13.2% · Direction-adjusted -13.2%

  • Bearish call · published Sep 29, 2026

    Entry close · Sep 30, 2026
    $137.30
    End close · Oct 30, 2026
    $130.67

    Price change -4.8% · Direction-adjusted +4.8%

  • Meet Kevin · ORCLMoved opposite

    Bullish call · published Sep 22, 2026

    Entry close · Sep 23, 2026
    $144.56
    End close · Oct 23, 2026
    $126.16

    Price change -12.7% · Direction-adjusted -12.7%

90-day window

Direction matched: Not enough observations

2 matched

of 5 observed calls

Rate appears from 10 observations

7 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
2
Moved opposite
3
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
7
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
+8.0%
Published calls on file
20
Excluded from this measurement
6
Additional calls grouped
2

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Bearish call · published Jul 23, 2026

    Entry close · Jul 24, 2026
    $114.99
    End close · Oct 22, 2026
    $125.54

    Price change +9.2% · Direction-adjusted -9.2%

  • Bearish call · published Jul 13, 2026

    Entry close · Jul 14, 2026
    $127.94
    End close · Oct 12, 2026
    $137.39

    Price change +7.4% · Direction-adjusted -7.4%

  • Bearish call · published Jun 16, 2026

    Entry close · Jun 17, 2026
    $183.53
    End close · Sep 15, 2026
    $140.35

    Price change -23.5% · Direction-adjusted +23.5%

How to read this

Direction is extracted by AI and may need correction. These fixed windows do not evaluate the creator’s own target or deadline. The entry is the first full market session after the source’s UTC publication date; we compare its close with the close 30 or 90 calendar days later, rolling a non-trading endpoint forward. Bullish calls match a rise; bearish calls match a fall. This is a price comparison, not a trading return.

How directional measurements work

Updated Nov 7, 2026

Forecast accuracy

Creators’ own targets and deadlines

—

nothing resolved yet

20 calls from 5 channels are on file for ORCL. None have resolved yet, so there is no hit rate to report. 1 is still pending. Direction is mixed: 8 bullish and 11 bearish, plus 1 with no stated direction.

This is the weighted hit rate: a partial counts as half. It uses resolved forecasts, not the 30/90-day directional observations above.

How hit rates work

Email me when ORCL calls resolve

When a tracked ORCL call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.

Used only for these updates. Privacy

Price & targets

Compare one creator’s call at a time.

1 target available · newest first

  • Daily close
  • Selected target
$112$126$139$152May 11Aug 8Nov 6
Recent daily closes through Nov 6, 2026. Price history is incomplete; gaps remain open.
About this view

Price window: May 11, 2026–Nov 6, 2026. Yahoo Finance · daily closes. Prices and targets use split-adjusted units.

92 trading sessions are missing from this window. Lines break across missing sessions; one observation appears as a dot.

The recorded outcome follows the call’s original target, deadline and conditions. The price line shows daily closing observations.

19 calls lack a comparable target or source date. Find calls without targets in the creator archive.

Calls, by channel

Choose a creator to read their calls and source evidence.

Asymmetric Investing by Travis Hoium7 callsStrongly Bearish

The host expects further downside in Oracle as its AI infrastructure expansion consumes cash and requires additional financing. Higher borrowing costs and project delays could undermine the profitability of its large contracted revenue backlog.

Most recent thesisSep 29, 2026Source video

The host expects further downside in Oracle as its AI infrastructure expansion consumes cash and requires additional financing. Higher borrowing costs and project delays could undermine the profitability of its large contracted revenue backlog.

Earlier theses (3)
Strongly BearishSep 16, 2026Source

Travis argues that despite a surface-level bullish income statement, Oracle's massive AI infrastructure buildout is burning through cash and being funded increasingly by debt whose cost is rising much faster than treasury yields. He warns this creates a potential downward spiral where rising financing costs and a falling stock price feed on each other, making him avoid the stock entirely right now.

Strongly BearishJul 23, 2026Source

Oracle's large remaining performance obligations require substantial upfront infrastructure spending that its cash balance and operating cash flow cannot cover. The host believes rising debt costs, potential dilution, and falling investment returns undermine shareholder returns, and he explicitly declines to buy while warning that the stock's downward spiral could worsen.

BearishJun 16, 2026Source

Oracle is taking on massive debt and burning $20-25 billion a year in free cash flow to fund AI data center buildouts, including its huge OpenAI-linked RPO backlog. The host views this as too highly leveraged and risky, given there is not yet a clear return on the AI investment.

Meet Kevin7 callsBullish

The host expects Oracle to find a bottom near $132 after a sharp decline. He notes that its observed low near $135 has brought it close to that anticipated support.

Most recent thesisOct 8, 2026Source video

The host expects Oracle to find a bottom near $132 after a sharp decline. He notes that its observed low near $135 has brought it close to that anticipated support.

Earlier theses (6)
BullishOct 2, 2026Source

The host believes Oracle is forming a bottom near its current trading level around $139. He argues that rising credit-default-swap prices partly reflect demand for hedging AI exposure and that Oracle's fundamentals have improved since last year.

BullishOct 2, 2026Source

Kevin believes Oracle's fundamentals have improved from the prior year and that its shares are forming a bottom around $139. He argues that rising default-protection costs partly reflect hedge-fund positioning around data-center exposure.

BullishSep 22, 2026Source

Kevin briefly suggests Oracle has likely bottomed as part of the broader hardware/AI infrastructure recovery narrative.

BullishSep 11, 2026Source

Oracle is grouped with other hardware/infrastructure names Kevin expects to benefit if his bullish Iran-deal scenario plays out, despite being flat after its recent earnings.

BullishSep 10, 2026Source

Kevin views Oracle's recent earnings as a reality check on data-center pricing, showing long-term contracts settle closer to $13-15B per gigawatt rather than the scarcity pricing implied by SpaceX's deal. He believes Oracle has cleaned up its balance sheet, is cutting costs where unprofitable, and is trading cheaply relative to its growth, though its fate is tied to OpenAI's ability to pay its contract.

BearishAug 11, 2026Source

Kevin is concerned about Oracle's heavy debt load ($150B+) relative to cash on hand and thinks data center compute will eventually commoditize, compressing rental yields and leaving highly-levered players like Oracle exposed. He frames this as a long-term risk rather than an imminent collapse.

Financial Education3 callsMixed

Oracle is included in the group of infrastructure spenders whose valuations may be vulnerable to excessive capital expenditure. The host identifies the disclosures as a future risk without predicting a definite decline.

Most recent thesisSep 24, 2026Source video

Oracle is included in the group of infrastructure spenders whose valuations may be vulnerable to excessive capital expenditure. The host identifies the disclosures as a future risk without predicting a definite decline.

Earlier theses (2)
MixedSep 11, 2026Source

Jeremy gives Oracle's quarter an A- grade citing strong revenue and profit growth, but flags a serious and worsening balance sheet/debt problem with rapidly rising interest expense. He says he'd consider buying only a small position due to this risk.

MixedJul 13, 2026Source

Oracle receives a five because the host likes its business but refuses to invest given its balance sheet. He cites a credit downgrade as support for his financial-risk concerns.

Tom Nash2 callsBullish

Oracle is included among cloud providers expected to profit from AI infrastructure spending. The host places it in a lower conviction tier because its transition from databases to cloud remains a question.

Most recent thesisMay 15, 2026Source video

Oracle is included among cloud providers expected to profit from AI infrastructure spending. The host places it in a lower conviction tier because its transition from databases to cloud remains a question.

Earlier thesis (1)
BullishMar 5, 2026Source

Oracle's push into cloud database hosting as clients onboard its platform is cited as giving it 'massive' potential within the host's top-20 list.

Michael Tyler1 callBearish

The host expects dilution to remain an investment headwind for Oracle after its announced stock offering. He argues that shareholders are increasingly unwilling to finance AI capital expenditure through repeated equity issuance.

Most recent thesisNov 2, 2026Source video

The host expects dilution to remain an investment headwind for Oracle after its announced stock offering. He argues that shareholders are increasingly unwilling to finance AI capital expenditure through repeated equity issuance.