The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$18.50
Said $1.85· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I will be buying at roughly around that $180 range, $180 to $1.90 only because I do feel Lucid is ramping up... I feel at anything sub $2 is a pretty good steal”@ 5:57 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- May 31, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The 50% steel tariff increase is unlikely to directly hurt Lucid since Mark previously indicated locally-sourced steel, but manipulation by shorts and potential supply competition from larger automakers are indirect risks. The speaker plans to buy in the $1.80–$1.90 range and warns that breaking below $2 will trigger reverse stock split fears.
Key arguments
- Mark previously stated steel tariffs at 25% would not affect Lucid — implying local sourcing
- Indirect manipulation risk: shorts will use tariff headline to push stock down
- Lucid primarily uses aluminum not steel — reducing direct tariff exposure further
- Supply competition risk: larger automakers will get priority over Lucid for limited steel
- A dilution issuance likely in Q3 tail end could push stock to $1.80–$1.90 range
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Mark may not be 100% accurate about complete insulation from steel tariffs
- Trump could reverse or reduce the tariff quickly — it may not stick
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- May 31, 2025, 1:58 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-1.35
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before22.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-02
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$18.5 reached on 2025-06-02. Price: $22.00. Return: -1.3%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before22
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.85
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.