TSLABullpending
Michael TylerTarget Range
$340–$365
“In the near term, I do think we could bounce back up to that 340, 350 level, maybe even as high as 365.”
Thesis at the time
BullishThe host believes Tesla's recent decline is more about weak retail participation and midterm-year seasonality than deteriorating fundamentals, pointing to falling short interest and strong product demand (Model Y L sellout) as bullish signs. He expects near-term volatility but sees a longer-term bullish catalyst as Tesla's real-world AI and robotaxi story develops.
Key arguments
- Tesla short interest has fallen from over 3% to 2.4% even as the stock has dropped, which he views as a bullish signal rather than bearish capitulation.
- The Model Y L launch series is already almost sold out in the US, showing strong demand.
- Tesla and the Cybercab are reportedly not limited by the new autonomous vehicle cap of 2,500 units/year, which he thinks investors haven't priced in yet.
- He believes the 'real-world AI' story will become a major driver for Tesla later this year and into next year.
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Low retail investor engagement during summer and midterm election year volatility could keep the stock suppressed in the near term.
- He acknowledges the stock could bounce and then fall back down, showing uncertainty about near-term direction.
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Video includes explicit disclaimer: 'INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVISE. BECAUSE ITS NOT.'
- Content is news reaction and market commentary, not actionable investment guidance
- Transcript is incomplete (first 4000 characters only)
The call
- Date said
- Jul 31, 2026
- Timeframe
- over the next month or two
- Current price (live)
- $378.90✓ target met
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Hedge words ('could', 'maybe') and explicit acknowledgment of low expectations reduce confidence despite a specific price range.
Source
*BIG* Tesla Stock Rumor CONFIRMED FALSE by Elon... (BIG NEWS)
Said on Jul 31, 2026Open on YouTube ↗