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Lucid (LCID)

The call, on record

LCID bullish call

Recorded from Lucid City’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
LCIDBullNot scored: price data
Lucid CityLucid City

Target Price(split-adjusted)

$25.50

Said $2.55· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“255 is going to be that next strong target/resistance which could be touched today”@ 8:08 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Apr 25, 2025
Extracted deadline
Apr 25, 2025
Stored reference price
$24.50
Interpreted confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
Not scored: price data
Notes
The deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

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Evidence and source

KEY Levels for Lucid to CLOSE ABOVE | Lucid Gravity Supply Chain Issue ⚠️ Important Lucid Update
Published on Apr 25, 2025@ 8:08Open on YouTube

Our summary of the thesis

Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

Gravity supply-chain issues confirmed via customer email showing unavailability of a tech package, causing Lucid to offer upgrades or downgrades — mirroring Air launch problems. A Robert Baird analyst raised the $3 price target while lowering revenue estimates, which paradoxically lowers the bar for Lucid to beat. Lucid sits exactly on the 50-day MA ($245); closing above it for two consecutive days has historically led to 30-40% runs. Shorts increasing 4.64M shares the prior day shows ongoing suppression, but 20,000 contracts at $2.50 strike expiring Friday could force a bump.

Key arguments

  • Closing above 50-day MA for two consecutive days historically triggers 30-40% upside run
  • Robert Baird $3 price target with lowered revenue consensus makes it easier for Lucid to beat expectations
  • Supply-chain issues are repeating the Air launch playbook and should be resolved relatively quickly
  • 20,000 options open interest at $2.50 strike could force market-maker buying if Lucid closes at/above $2.50 Friday
  • New marketing hire and ongoing events show increased marketing focus per Mark's vision

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Beyond Meat marketing hire is questioned due to that company's poor track record
  • Gravity supply-chain issues are an exact repeat of Air launch problems
  • Shorts increased 4.64M shares the prior day, showing continued aggressive short selling

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Apr 25, 2025, 12:37 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-18.1
Outcome reason code
insufficient_price_coverage
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 7 shown

  1. Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Evaluation kind

    BeforeNot recorded

    Aftertouch

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-15.1

    After2026-10-18.1

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-16

    After2026-10-19

  2. Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.5

    After2026-10-15.1

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-06

    After2026-10-16

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  5. Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  6. Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC

    insufficient price coverage

    Reference price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After24.5

    Reference observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-04-24T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Reference price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.

    AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

    Outcome reason

    BeforeMissing reference price

    AfterInsufficient price coverage

  7. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    missing reference price

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before0

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before25

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2025-04-25

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $25.5. Price: $25.00.

    AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.

    Outcome price

    Before25

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterMissing reference price

    Outcome status

    Beforemiss

    Afterunverifiable

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Methodology and limitationsReport a correction
Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
$24.50
Apr 24, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Target as extracted
$2.55
Stated deadline as extracted
Apr 25, 2025
Recorded outcome date
Oct 19, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

The deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.

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