TSLABullpending
Michael TylerTarget Range
$380–$400
“I think by Friday Tesla could actually be breaking out, you know, into the 380s, maybe even $400 per share.”
Thesis at the time
BullishThe host remains broadly bullish on Tesla, expecting it to trade in a range but potentially break out toward $380-$400 by Friday if catalysts like the Iran conflict resolution and Jackson Hole go well. He also flags a strong post-midterm election rally as a key tailwind for Tesla investors going forward.
Key arguments
- Tesla is not a hardware stock, so it should not be heavily impacted by a weak Nvidia earnings report
- Tesla makes up about 20% of the cyclicals weighting, so oil and Fed-rate expectations movements will drive its price
- A resolution to the Iran conflict (Strait of Hormuz reopening) would be a massive positive catalyst for Tesla
- If Nvidia sells off, capital could rotate into the 'new AI trade' (robotics, automation, AI software) benefiting Tesla
- A 9-10 month post-midterm rally starting in October is likely and is the more important focus for Tesla investors
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- A bad PCE report could cause Tesla to move down significantly
- We are heading into a historically negative seasonal period before a midterm election
- Anything is possible in the near term depending on catalysts
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Creator explicitly states 'INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVISE. BECAUSE ITS NOT.'
- No specific directional predictions on Tesla or other assets provided
- Discussion focuses on economic data releases and their general market implications rather than specific stock calls
- Creator mentions 'big news that could come out at any moment' but does not specify what or how it would impact specific assets
The call
- Date said
- Aug 25, 2026
- Timeframe
- by Friday
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$11.10 below target
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Specific price range and timeframe given, but hedged with 'could' and 'maybe' and explicitly conditioned on Iran war and Jackson Hole outcomes.
Source
Tesla Stock could *MOVE BIG* Tomorrow..
Said on Aug 25, 2026Open on YouTube ↗