TSLABullpending
Michael TylerTarget Range
$450–$459
“Typically, when you're coiling to the upside, you tend to break out to the upside and that could really send Tesla maybe to like the 450s over the next couple of weeks if we do get good news.”
Thesis at the time
BullishThe host highlights a wave of positive Tesla catalysts—new FSD Supervised approvals across Europe, a viral Cyber Cab review from China, and a Morgan Stanley note (reposted by Musk) framing Tesla and SpaceX as synergistic physical-AI companies. He frames the stock as 'coiling' near its 100-day moving average and expects a breakout, with the direction depending on how the Iran situation and US-China talks resolve this week.
Key arguments
- FSD Supervised approved in the Czech Republic, continuing a string of European approvals with bigger markets (Germany, UK, France) still pending
- Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas published a note on Tesla/SpaceX physical-AI synergy that Elon Musk reposted, seen as hinting at deeper integration
- Tesla stock up about 3% and technically coiling near its 100-day moving average, suggesting an imminent breakout
- Short interest has been gradually climbing (2.1% to 2.65% of float) even as the stock grinds higher
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If bad news emerges (e.g., an Iran escalation), the stock could break down toward $340 and potentially $280
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK AND NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING SAID IN THESE VIDEOS AS FINANCIAL ADVICE. BECAUSE ITS NOT.
- Markets may respond to upcoming catalysts from UN General Assembly and Trump-China meeting
- Geopolitical situation remains fluid and could escalate unexpectedly
The call
- Date said
- Sep 21, 2026
- Timeframe
- over the next couple of weeks
- Price at prediction
- $364.27
- Current price (live)
- $378.90$75.60 below target
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- pending
Confidence Reasoning
Conditional on 'good news' with hedges like 'maybe' and 'could', reducing conviction despite a specific target range.
Source
Tesla Stock is EXPLODING.. (Big News)
Said on Sep 21, 2026Open on YouTube ↗