Behind the video
BIG Money Selling Lucid… But Why?! ⚠️ 5.8M Shorts Added TODAY | LCID Stock Breakdown
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBearishStrength: 50%
Overall Thesis
Big money is selling LCID at Q2 end with shorts adding 5.97M shares approaching all-time highs, driven by fears of a weak EV Q2 across the board and LCID's near-term technical breakdown below all key MAs.
Narratives
LCIDLucid MotorsInstitutions are selling LCID not buying on the last day of Q2 despite expected rebalancing, with shorts adding 5.97M shares to approach all-time highs. Chinese EV makers are lowering guidance, Tesla Q2 expected to disappoint, and LCID is below all key moving averages with the next downside target around sub-$2 based on Elliott wave technicals.
Key Arguments
- All three secondary market transactions on last day of Q2 are sells — no institutional rebalancing buying
- Shorts at 399.39M shares (32.39% of float), near all-time highs
- Chinese EV makers lowering guidance for 2025 — sector-wide demand concerns
- Deutsche Bank sees Tesla Q2 as a miss — will trickle to other EVs
- LCID below all key moving averages (50, 100, 200-day), Elliott wave targeting sub-$2
Risks acknowledged
- Rate cut signals from Morgan Stanley and Fed speakers theoretically bullish for rate-sensitive EVs
- Q2 rebalancing could come Monday or Tuesday instead
Predictions (1)
BearTarget: $20
expiredDetails
Analyzed with manual_claude_session | Extraction manual_v1 | Cost: —