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Lucid CEO: “Momentum Is Building” ⚠️ But Will Guidance Be Cut to 12K?! │ LCID Stock Update

Overall SentimentBearishStrength: 55%

Overall Thesis

CEO Mark Winteroff admitted the Gravity ramp is 'slower than hoped' due to supply chain issues, tariffs, and rare earth disputes — the speaker anticipates a guidance cut from 20K to ~12K at August 5th earnings.

Narratives

LCIDLucid Motors
Bearish

Mark Winteroff acknowledged in a podcast that the Gravity ramp is slower than expected due to supply chain issues, tariffs, and rare earth disputes. The speaker draws parallels to 2023 when Lucid cut guidance twice and anticipates a cut from 20,000 to ~12,000 at August 5th earnings, which would be received very negatively by the market.

Key Arguments

  • CEO admitted: 'ramp is slower than hoped due to supply chain issues, tariffs and rare earth disputes'
  • Speaker anticipates guidance cut from 20K to 12K at August 5 earnings — parallel to 2023 double cut
  • Short interest approaching all-time high at 392.67M shares (31.85% of float)
  • Rare earth dispute with China is a new, incremental headwind Mark acknowledged
  • Big money still buying dip per secondary market transactions

Predictions (1)

Bear
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