Behind the video
Lucid CEO: “Momentum Is Building” ⚠️ But Will Guidance Be Cut to 12K?! │ LCID Stock Update
The thesis, the calls, and the words behind them. Play a quote to hear it in the original video.
Overall SentimentBearishStrength: 55%
Overall Thesis
CEO Mark Winteroff admitted the Gravity ramp is 'slower than hoped' due to supply chain issues, tariffs, and rare earth disputes — the speaker anticipates a guidance cut from 20K to ~12K at August 5th earnings.
Narratives
LCIDLucid MotorsMark Winteroff acknowledged in a podcast that the Gravity ramp is slower than expected due to supply chain issues, tariffs, and rare earth disputes. The speaker draws parallels to 2023 when Lucid cut guidance twice and anticipates a cut from 20,000 to ~12,000 at August 5th earnings, which would be received very negatively by the market.
Key Arguments
- CEO admitted: 'ramp is slower than hoped due to supply chain issues, tariffs and rare earth disputes'
- Speaker anticipates guidance cut from 20K to 12K at August 5 earnings — parallel to 2023 double cut
- Short interest approaching all-time high at 392.67M shares (31.85% of float)
- Rare earth dispute with China is a new, incremental headwind Mark acknowledged
- Big money still buying dip per secondary market transactions
Risks acknowledged
- Mark says 'momentum is building' and Gravity feedback is phenomenal
- Rate cut probability increased to 24.8% for July 30 meeting — bullish for EVs
- Shorts overextending = potential squeeze if Lucid surprises positively
Predictions (1)
Bear
Not scoredDetails
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