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AMD (AMD)

How the view evolved

Jo Bhakdi on AMD

Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on AMD — 14 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices
BullishHow the Midterm Will Impact AI Stocks: SPCX, TSLA, MU, NVDA, METANov 2, 2026
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AMD is included in the host's long-term AI buying opportunity. He nevertheless prefers Nvidia because AMD's valuation is less compelling and it still has more to prove.

Key arguments

  • Included among screamingly cheap AI stocks
  • Potential beneficiary of AI demand

Risks acknowledged

  • Less attractive than Nvidia
  • Execution still needs proof
  • Severe current drawdown
BullishWhy The Stock Market Panic Is FAKE: Understand NVDA, META, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, SPCX and TSLAOct 30, 2026
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The host considers AMD's sharp decline an unjustified spillover from Intel's problems. He also questions selling semiconductor suppliers while hyperscalers continue investing heavily, without giving AMD a distinct forward price forecast.

Key arguments

  • Says AMD had not reported new negative information.
  • Attributes its decline to contagion from Intel.
  • Argues infrastructure spending benefits semiconductor suppliers.

Risks acknowledged

  • Investors question whether data-center spending can continue.
  • Irrational market selling can persist.
BullishWhy Earnings Tsunami DESTROYS AMZN, INTC, AMD And Other AI StocksOct 29, 2026
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The host argues AMD's decline in sympathy with Intel is irrational because Intel's problem is company-specific. He treats the episode as evidence of indiscriminate selling rather than issuing a separate AMD return forecast.

Key arguments

  • AMD had not reported earnings.
  • Intel's fab disruption does not establish weaker CPU demand.
  • An Intel-specific supply disruption does not justify mechanically selling its competitor.

Risks acknowledged

  • Sector sentiment can still pressure AMD despite the asserted lack of a fundamental connection.
Strongly BullishAre Tesla, SpaceX, Micron, Nvidia and AI Stocks going to CRASH?Oct 14, 2026
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The host is explicitly bullish on AMD as an investment and expects CPU scarcity to benefit the company. He favors semiconductor diversification over trying to identify a single winner.

Key arguments

  • He anticipates a CPU crunch.
  • He describes AMD as especially strong in CPUs.
  • He believes multiple semiconductor companies can benefit simultaneously.

Risks acknowledged

  • He says he is not an AMD expert.
  • He does not own AMD and does not understand it well enough.
NeutralWhy SpaceX Stock Will DROP MORE This WeekOct 7, 2026
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A viewer asks for AMD to be added to the host's research list. The host says a good analysis has not yet been completed and offers no directional investment view.

Key arguments

  • The host acknowledges that AMD has not yet received adequate analysis.
BullishWhy SpaceX and Tesla Are Moving Into POLE POSITIONOct 4, 2026
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The host tentatively identifies AMD as another potentially attractive AI investment. He explicitly says he is not an AMD specialist and provides no substantive company-specific forecast.

Key arguments

  • AMD is included among potential beneficiaries of the AI investment opportunity.

Risks acknowledged

  • The host says he is not an AMD specialist.
  • His favorable assessment is qualified with 'maybe' and 'probably'.
BullishIs Tesla Stock BACK ON TRACK?Sep 21, 2026
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AMD is highlighted as the standout performer in a strong day for semiconductors, though no forward-looking price thesis is offered.

Key arguments

  • AMD was up about 10% on the day, called out as exceptionally strong.
NeutralThe SECRET PLAN Behind Tesla TerafabSep 18, 2026
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AMD is mentioned as a chip competitor to Nvidia that no one, including Tesla, can currently out-compete in its core niche; the speaker does not offer a directional prediction on AMD stock.

Key arguments

  • No one can compete against AMD or Nvidia in their core chip competency, according to the speaker.
NeutralWill Tesla BUY Intel To BOOST Terafab?Apr 10, 2026
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AMD is recognized as a strong competitor that has successfully challenged Intel in CPUs, but is considered less attractive than Intel as a potential Tesla acquisition target. AMD's relative strength compared to Intel makes it a less ideal acquisition candidate.

Key arguments

  • AMD has successfully competed against Intel in CPU markets
  • AMD has sidelined Intel in processor competition

Risks acknowledged

  • AMD is relatively much stronger than Intel, making it less attractive for acquisition
  • Tesla wants weak companies with great capabilities, not strong ones
BullishAGI Will FLOOD Tesla and Mag7 Stocks with Cash (I Did the Math)Apr 4, 2026
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AMD benefits from the massive AI infrastructure buildout alongside NVIDIA. The speaker includes AMD as part of the justified capex spending in AI chips that will generate substantial returns.

Key arguments

  • Part of the AI chip ecosystem benefiting from hyperscaler spending
BullishHow to Build Your AI Stock Portfolio for MAXIMUM Investment ReturnsNov 18, 2025
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AMD is a smaller AI infrastructure play with chips that are sometimes cheaper and better performance per dollar, but struggles catching up with CUDA. Only interesting because so much smaller than Nvidia at 400B vs 4T, giving it easier growth runway.

Key arguments

  • Some chips cheaper with better performance per dollar
  • CEO Lisa Su is related by blood to Jensen Huang - great Taiwan heritage
  • Smaller at 400B vs NVDA 4T - can grow more easily

Risks acknowledged

  • Struggles catching up with CUDA software ecosystem
  • Far behind in software moat
BullishWill Nvidia’s $100B Bet on OpenAI Leave Tesla Behind?Oct 19, 2025
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AMD is underestimated and making good progress on inference; CUDA's advantage is shrinking because AI makes software translation easier.

Key arguments

  • AMD is very aggressive and not dummies.
  • Making good progress on inference workloads.
  • Highly more competent than Tesla team as a giant semiconductor company.
  • AI shrinks CUDA moat advantage.

Risks acknowledged

  • AMD lags Nvidia on software/CUDA.
BullishAre AI Stocks like Tesla and Nvidia in a GIANT Bubble?Oct 15, 2025
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AMD is part of the real AI infrastructure buildout, going up 29% after OpenAI 10% equity deal with commitment for 6GW of chips.

Key arguments

  • AMD rallied 29% on the OpenAI deal.
  • Real chip supply commitment for 6 gigawatts.
Strongly BullishThe STRATEGY behind OpenAI’s Deal with Nvidia and AMDOct 10, 2025
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AMD's OpenAI deal for 6GW of MI400 represents 600% revenue boost vs 2024's $25B total; OpenAI takes 10% equity which went up 29% on announcement.

Key arguments

  • 6GW of MI400 chips starting 2026.
  • Up to $150B deal vs entire AMD 2024 revenue of $25B.
  • AMD stock up 29% on announcement.
  • Lisa Su is a tremendous CEO and first cousin of Jensen Huang.

Risks acknowledged

  • Nvidia is a little better and more integrated at higher price.