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Meta (META)

How the view evolved

Jo Bhakdi on META

Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on META — 32 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
METAMeta Platforms
BullishHow the Midterm Will Impact AI Stocks: SPCX, TSLA, MU, NVDA, METANov 2, 2026
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The host considers Meta oversold and attractive because of strong results and leadership. He initially sees a durable bottom around 610, but acknowledges during the stream that this support has failed.

Key arguments

  • Strong operating results
  • High-quality leadership and AI talent
  • Valuation appears excessively depressed

Risks acknowledged

  • More risk than Microsoft, Amazon and Nvidia
  • 610 support breaks during the stream
BullishSPACEX IS A COIL SPRINGOct 30, 2026
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The speaker briefly expects Meta shares to recover to $700. He offers no Meta-specific supporting analysis or explicit timing in the supplied excerpt.

Key arguments

  • Anticipates a recovery to $700.
Strongly BullishWhy The Stock Market Panic Is FAKE: Understand NVDA, META, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, SPCX and TSLAOct 30, 2026
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The host calls Meta dramatically undervalued and expects medium-term appreciation. He treats elevated spending as investment in future growth rather than evidence that the AI thesis has failed.

Key arguments

  • Cites a forward earnings multiple around 18.
  • Cites revenue growth of 26%.
  • Attributes comparatively lower profit growth to increased investment.

Risks acknowledged

  • Higher spending has constrained current profit growth.
  • The market may continue selling despite the valuation argument.
Strongly BullishWhy Earnings Tsunami DESTROYS AMZN, INTC, AMD And Other AI StocksOct 29, 2026
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The host views Meta's earnings selloff as excessive and believes the shares are forming a bottom. He expects a rapid recovery and has increased his exposure through short puts.

Key arguments

  • He considers the underlying earnings very good.
  • He initiated exposure around $648 and increased it around $630.
  • He interprets stabilization and recovery as evidence that selling is exhausted.

Risks acknowledged

  • His position remains slightly negative.
  • He acknowledges the possibility that his broader recovery thesis is wrong.
Strongly BullishWhy Tesla Stock Is SKYROCKETINGOct 27, 2026
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The host considers Meta exceptionally cheap after a selloff that he believes misreads strong earnings and a sound investment strategy. He expects the shares to recover toward 700–800, with 800 probably reached by year-end.

Key arguments

  • He praises Meta's earnings.
  • He views its capital expenditure and capitalization strategy favorably.
  • He considers the selloff an attractive buying opportunity.
  • He describes Meta as one of the cheapest Magnificent Seven stocks.

Risks acknowledged

  • The market has reacted negatively despite the host's positive assessment.
  • Ethical objections may make the stock unsuitable for some viewers.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX, Tesla and AI Stocks Could RALLY SoonOct 25, 2026
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The host calls Meta a compelling buy after its selloff and reports establishing a large options position. He expects consumer AI leadership and profit growth to justify heavy capital spending, and views Meta as safer on the downside than Micron in the near term.

Key arguments

  • He expects Meta to become a leader in consumer AI.
  • He praises the execution capabilities of its AI leadership.
  • He cites a strong balance sheet and substantial profit growth.
  • He argues that cash-flow pressure from AI investment is an inadequate reason to sell.

Risks acknowledged

  • Heavy capital spending has generated concern about negative cash flow.
  • The stock experienced a substantial selloff.
  • The broader market could suffer another round of selling.
BullishWhy 2026 is the LAST NORMAL Year for Tesla, SpaceX and HumanityOct 23, 2026
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Jo includes Meta among companies he considers dramatically undervalued after the recent AI-related selloff. This supports a favorable valuation narrative, but he provides no distinct Meta price target or explicit forward return claim.

Key arguments

  • Jo describes the AI bubble concern as mistaken.
  • He cites valuation ratios, particularly PEG ratios, as supporting perceived undervaluation.
  • He expresses strong optimism about the broader investment cycle.

Risks acknowledged

  • He allows for approximately another week of market volatility.
  • The discussion provides little company-specific valuation detail.
  • Political constraints on AI infrastructure remain a broader industry risk.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX And Meta Stocks Are SUPER BARGAINS TodayOct 22, 2026
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The host views Meta's post-earnings decline as an obvious buying opportunity and expects a rapid rally toward $700. He credits strong execution, earnings and its claimed AI leadership with Muse.

Key arguments

  • Characterizes earnings and execution as exceptionally strong.
  • Describes Meta as an AI leader with Muse.
  • Considers the approximately 5% decline unjustified and contemplates increasing his position.

Risks acknowledged

  • Acknowledges dislike of Meta and its products, but does not treat that as undermining the stock thesis.
BullishSpaceX Earnings Preview: What Matters MOSTOct 20, 2026
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The host considers Meta a good long-term AI investment, citing its consumer distribution and AI leadership changes. He favors Tesla in the short term because the timing of Meta's investment inflection remains unclear.

Key arguments

  • The host expects strongly positive fundamentals.
  • He views Meta as well positioned to own consumer-facing AI.
  • He credits Alexander Wang's entrepreneurial approach and leadership with improving Meta's AI prospects.
  • He explicitly describes Meta as a useful component of an AI portfolio.

Risks acknowledged

  • The timing of Meta's investment inflection is unknown.
  • He does not consider Meta a better short-term purchase than Tesla.
Strongly BullishWhy Tesla Stock Is RALLYING Into EarningsOct 19, 2026
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The host explicitly recommends Meta as a buy and considers it the most interesting Magnificent Seven investment after Tesla. He views its decline from approximately $777 to $700 as unjustified and its valuation as attractive.

Key arguments

  • The host calls Meta a total buy.
  • He considers the shares relatively cheap after a substantial pullback.
  • He ranks its investment appeal behind only Tesla among the Magnificent Seven.

Risks acknowledged

  • Meta is trading slightly lower during the session.
  • Upcoming earnings remain an event to assess.
BullishCan SpaceX, Tesla And Meta Earnings SAVE The Stock Market?Oct 18, 2026
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The host expects strong Meta earnings and believes management has learned to communicate capital expenditure plans without alarming investors. Separately, he explicitly identifies Meta as a buy and sees greater upside than Amazon, with somewhat more risk.

Key arguments

  • Strong expected operating results and favorable commentary about Muse.
  • Management is expected to emphasize returns and spending flexibility.
  • Meta is presented as an attractive investment with more upside than Amazon.

Risks acknowledged

  • Investor anxiety about capital expenditure could dominate the earnings reaction.
  • Meta is considered somewhat riskier than Amazon.
  • The host would trim a small portion to fund Micron.
BullishWhy SpaceX Will DOMINATE AI With Its NEW MOVEOct 10, 2026
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The host portrays Meta's Muse application as a leading agentic AI system benefiting from Meta's existing distribution to billions of users. He treats that distribution and adoption as significant competitive advantages over Grok, without giving a forecast for Meta shares.

Key arguments

  • The host describes Muse as the fastest-growing application in history.
  • Meta's existing user base provides a large distribution advantage.
  • The host identifies Muse and Grokbot as the two leading agentic systems.
  • He argues that Muse makes competition more difficult for Grok.

Risks acknowledged

  • The host also describes Grokbot as a leading competitor despite its smaller initial distribution.
  • The host acknowledges that comparative application user numbers are unavailable.
Strongly BullishWhat Led to Today's FAKE Micron, Nvidia and Tesla Stock SelloffOct 8, 2026
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The host expects Meta to become a major winner in consumer AI, citing its large user base and Alexander Wang's leadership. His optimism concerns competitive execution rather than a specific share-price target.

Key arguments

  • Meta's approximately three-billion-user distribution base supports consumer AI adoption.
  • The host praises Alexander Wang's leadership.
  • He views Meta and Google as increasing competitive pressure on OpenAI.
  • He explicitly agrees with the favorable assessment of Meta's value.

Risks acknowledged

  • Meta could also fall during a broader momentum-stock correction.
  • The host acknowledges concerns about Zuckerberg's past conduct.
BullishWhy Tesla and SpaceX Stocks ROCKET UP TodayOct 2, 2026
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The host regards Meta as underrated and expects its AI organization to become a leading agentic AI competitor. His optimism centers on leadership and the progress of the product he calls Meta Muse.

Key arguments

  • The host praises Alexander Wang's leadership.
  • He describes Meta Muse as making strong progress.
  • He sees Meta as an important competitor in agentic AI.
BullishIs Tesla Stock BACK ON TRACK?Sep 21, 2026
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Joe holds a small Meta position and believes it is the most undervalued of the Magnificent Seven, crediting Alex Wang's leadership of Meta's AI efforts for a turnaround he says is now visibly playing out.

Key arguments

  • Meta is described as the most undervalued of the Mag 7.
  • Alex Wang's leadership at Meta AI is credited with turning the company around, evidenced by a 10% single-day rally.
BullishWhy I am BULLISH on Tesla Stock AgainAug 16, 2026
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The speaker is moderately bullish on Meta, primarily on valuation grounds and confidence in Meta's AI team, though his conviction is weaker than for Tesla or Nvidia.

Key arguments

  • Likes Meta on valuation.
  • Believes Meta's AI team (led by Jason Wang, as referenced) is underrated.

Risks acknowledged

  • States conviction on Meta is 'much weaker' than on Tesla or Nvidia.
MixedWhy the FED Just SAVED Us - And What Meta and Microsoft Earnings Could TRIGGERJul 29, 2026
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Jo has a small Meta position and views its earnings/capex guidance as a key trigger for whether the broader AI-driven market selloff continues or reverses. He noted Meta's forward capex guidance (130-145B vs prior 125-145B) came in as a mild, digestible increase, which he viewed as a positive sign for market stabilization.

Key arguments

  • Capex guidance in line with a slight upward revision is the 'best case scenario' that gives the market least reason to panic
  • Meta's earnings miss on EPS was minor and the selloff on it seemed overdone
  • Meta is a weaker AI product but included in the trade due to compute buildout/leasing

Risks acknowledged

  • If capex guidance had been cut or dramatically exceeded expectations, it would trigger a bigger selloff
NeutralWill Tesla BUY Intel To BOOST Terafab?Apr 10, 2026
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Meta is mentioned as one of the major hyperscalers spending heavily on data center buildouts, contributing to the $670 billion in infrastructure spending that will face rising energy costs. The company represents the terrestrial data center model that space-based alternatives will disrupt.

Key arguments

  • Meta is part of the hyperscalers spending $670 billion on data center buildouts in 2026
  • These companies are already consuming 7% of US energy and driving up utility costs

Risks acknowledged

  • Terrestrial data centers will become increasingly expensive due to energy constraints
Strongly BullishAGI Will FLOOD Tesla and Mag7 Stocks with Cash (I Did the Math)Apr 4, 2026
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Meta's AI infrastructure investments are part of the rational hyperscaler spending that will generate substantial returns. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the AI agent revolution.

Key arguments

  • Meta's AI capex is mathematically justified
  • Part of hyperscaler group making rational AI investments
BullishWill the US-Iran War FINALLY CRASH the Stock Market?Mar 21, 2026
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Meta's earnings are going crazy with cash flows through the roof due to the AI revolution. The company is part of the Mag 7 stocks with exploding fundamentals.

Key arguments

  • Earnings going crazy
  • Cash flow through the roof
  • Part of Mag 7 with exploding fundamentals
Strongly BullishAGI Just DESTROYED 92,000 Jobs - THESE Stocks Will EXPLODEMar 8, 2026
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Meta is identified as one of the major AI companies that will be the biggest winners from AI disruption and job displacement. The company will benefit from the transition to an AI-driven economy with explosive productivity growth.

Key arguments

  • One of the AI companies eating the world
  • Part of the Max 7 companies positioned to win
  • Will benefit from massive productivity gains from AI
BullishWhy I am CAUTIOUS About Tesla Stock Next WeekFeb 16, 2026
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Jo views Meta as undervalued among the Mag 7 stocks after Yann LeCun's departure, believing the company will now catch up in the AGI race without obstacles. He took profits after a 10% gain but keeps it on his agenda for future investment.

Key arguments

  • Removal of AGI obstacle with Yann LeCun's departure
  • Undervalued compared to other Mag 7 stocks
  • Will catch up in AGI race
NeutralWhy The Market PANIC Is BULLISH For Tesla StockFeb 12, 2026
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Meta is down as part of the broader tech stock selloff, caught up in the irrational market behavior and AI-related fears.

Key arguments

  • Part of broader tech selloff
  • Victim of market irrationality
Strongly BullishWhat the Tesla Earnings Call REALLY RevealedJan 29, 2026
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Meta is significantly undervalued and positioned to become a major AI winner following leadership changes. The speaker bought at $610 in October and sees continued upside potential.

Key arguments

  • Leadership change with Alex Wang from Scale AI becoming head of AI
  • Market mispricing due to previous AI losses
  • Massive $137 billion CapEx investment in AI infrastructure
  • Strong recent performance up from $610 to $734
BullishTesla Stock TANKS One Day Before Earnings - Time to PANIC?Jan 27, 2026
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Meta is included in the speaker's AGI-focused portfolio alongside Tesla and Nvidia. The speaker views it as part of capturing the upside of the AGI revolution.

Key arguments

  • Part of diversified AGI portfolio strategy
  • Positioned to benefit from AGI revolution
BullishWhy THIS STRATEGY Outperformed Tesla Stock by over 30%Dec 22, 2025
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Meta is mispriced right now and ahead of the game in AI, making it an attractive AGI-era name versus peers.

Key arguments

  • Meta is ahead of the game and mispriced according to the host
BullishWhy AI Creates UNLIMITED Upside for Tesla and Mag 7 StocksNov 26, 2025
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Meta is the underdog of the Mag-7 but owns 3 billion users which Jo considers the entire productive population of Earth it can monetize. Does not build its own chips but buys heavily from Nvidia and Broadcom.

Key arguments

  • 3 billion users, entire productive population of Earth
  • Large buyer of Nvidia and Broadcom chips

Risks acknowledged

  • Does not build its own chips
BullishWhy Meta Just Became the Most ATTRACTIVE AI Stock (Behind Tesla)Nov 23, 2025
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Meta has dropped 20% in one month to a 25x PE, which Jo views as a contrarian opportunity given 3 billion users, massive compute capex, Alexander Wang now running the Superintelligence team, and Yann LeCun gone. Jo expects strong AI results within 12 months and PE to re-rate from 25 to at least 33 while earnings also grow, with Meta potentially catching up to the rest of the Mag-7.

Key arguments

  • PE at 25 vs Nvidia 33 and Apple 33 is relatively undervalued
  • Dropped 20% in one month on capex concerns, creating opportunity
  • 3 billion users across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp
  • Alexander Wang hired as Chief AI Officer after Scale AI acquisition
  • Yann LeCun gone, unblocking frontier model work
  • Open-source Llama strategy builds dependency ecosystem
  • Zuckerberg spending aggressively on GPU compute
  • Strong surprises expected within 12 months

Risks acknowledged

  • Llama 4 has been behind Gemini, Claude, and GPT
  • Stock still could drop more short term
  • Market punishes heavy capex spending
BullishHow to Build Your AI Stock Portfolio for MAXIMUM Investment ReturnsNov 18, 2025
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Meta is Bhakdi's favorite underrated hyperscaler pick because the market misunderstands Meta's AI capex and has not recognized that Yann LeCun leaving frees their amazing AI team. Low P/E plus Zuckerberg's aggressive entrepreneurship should drive cool AI innovation in the next 12 months while the stock is underappreciated.

Key arguments

  • Meta has over 3 billion users
  • Zuckerberg is scaling AI very aggressively
  • Yann LeCun leaving unchains Meta's AI team to actually innovate
  • Lowest P/E among hyperscalers - best price per company quality
  • Next 12 months will see cool AI stuff from Meta

Risks acknowledged

  • Market does not appreciate the great AI capex because of LeCun legacy
  • Not the best business of hyperscalers but the most misunderstood
BullishWhy the Stock Market and Tesla Turbulences DON'T SCARE MeNov 17, 2025
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Meta is probably the best idea outside Tesla at 21x forward P/E with a secret AI strategy that will transform everything. Video coming out this week on Meta.

Key arguments

  • 21x forward P/E - lowest of hyperscalers
  • Best idea outside Tesla
  • Secret AI strategy will transform everything
BullishWhy Tesla Stock Is in BUY Territory Right NowNov 12, 2025
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Meta just made an enormous announcement yesterday that will strategically change Meta's stance and capabilities (something called 'AI high'). Bhakdi is creeping Meta up to top-3 position - very risk-mitigated, not much downside, super low valuation. Dedicated video on Meta coming.

Key arguments

  • Enormous announcement changes Meta's strategic stance and capabilities
  • Very risk-mitigated with not much downside
  • Super low valuation
  • Top three stock on Bhakdi's list after Tesla