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Microsoft (MSFT)

Asset spotlight

What was said about Microsoft

Creator calls, with the evidence to check them.

MSFT · latest price

$530.61

as of 23h ago

The YouTube conversation

What are creators saying?

Selected calls on file
Recorded calls
37
YouTube channels
5
Pending outcomes
3
  • 32 bullish
  • 5 bearish

30 / 90 days · price direction

Directional track record

Did price move in the direction of the call?

Separate from forecast accuracy.

30-day window

Direction matched: Not enough observations

4 matched

of 9 observed calls

Rate appears from 10 observations

15 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
4
Moved opposite
5
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
15
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
+3.0%
Published calls on file
37
Excluded from this measurement
9
Additional calls grouped
4

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Meet Kevin · MSFTDirection matched

    Bullish call · published Oct 6, 2026

    Entry close · Oct 7, 2026
    $529.76
    End close · Nov 6, 2026
    $530.61

    Price change +0.2% · Direction-adjusted +0.2%

  • Meet Kevin · MSFTDirection matched

    Bullish call · published Oct 2, 2026

    Entry close · Oct 5, 2026
    $525.18
    End close · Nov 4, 2026
    $555.80

    Price change +5.8% · Direction-adjusted +5.8%

  • Michael Tyler · MSFTMoved opposite

    Bearish call · published Sep 28, 2026

    Entry close · Sep 29, 2026
    $508.96
    End close · Oct 29, 2026
    $530.14

    Price change +4.2% · Direction-adjusted -4.2%

90-day window

Direction matched: Not enough observations

4 matched

of 5 observed calls

Rate appears from 10 observations

19 waiting for the window

0 missing price evidence

Inspect the calls
Matched
4
Moved opposite
1
Flat
0
Waiting for the window
19
Missing price evidence
0
Average direction-adjusted move
+18.0%
Published calls on file
37
Excluded from this measurement
9
Additional calls grouped
4

One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.

Example measured calls

  • Tom Nash · MSFTDirection matched

    Bullish call · published Jul 27, 2026

    Entry close · Jul 28, 2026
    $393.35
    End close · Oct 26, 2026
    $532.60

    Price change +35.4% · Direction-adjusted +35.4%

  • Tom Nash · MSFTDirection matched

    Bullish call · published Jul 10, 2026

    Entry close · Jul 13, 2026
    $390.99
    End close · Oct 12, 2026
    $541.15

    Price change +38.4% · Direction-adjusted +38.4%

  • Tom Nash · MSFTDirection matched

    Bullish call · published May 15, 2026

    Entry close · May 18, 2026
    $423.54
    End close · Aug 17, 2026
    $480.35

    Price change +13.4% · Direction-adjusted +13.4%

How to read this

Direction is extracted by AI and may need correction. These fixed windows do not evaluate the creator’s own target or deadline. The entry is the first full market session after the source’s UTC publication date; we compare its close with the close 30 or 90 calendar days later, rolling a non-trading endpoint forward. Bullish calls match a rise; bearish calls match a fall. This is a price comparison, not a trading return.

How directional measurements work

Updated Nov 7, 2026

Forecast accuracy

Creators’ own targets and deadlines

—

nothing resolved yet

37 calls from 5 channels are on file for MSFT. None have resolved yet, so there is no hit rate to report. 3 are still pending. The record leans bullish: 32 bullish and 5 bearish.

This is the weighted hit rate: a partial counts as half. It uses resolved forecasts, not the 30/90-day directional observations above.

How hit rates work

Email me when MSFT calls resolve

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Used only for these updates. Privacy

Price & targets

Compare one creator’s call at a time.

4 targets available · newest first

  • Daily close
  • Selected range
$367$438$509$581May 11Aug 8Nov 6
Recent daily closes through Nov 6, 2026. Price history is incomplete; gaps remain open.
Meet Kevin

Said Oct 13, 2026

Target range

$562–$566

BullishRecorded outcomepending
Deadline
Deadline not recorded
Open call & evidence
Call context

Original words

“We also have a price target uh that we've been pretty public about on Microsoft and we've been pretty public about this. I mean pretty much the entire 500s here uh and that is the uh 562 to 566 region and we are almost there.”
Source video
About this view

Price window: May 11, 2026–Nov 6, 2026. Yahoo Finance · daily closes. Prices and targets use split-adjusted units.

47 trading sessions are missing from this window. Lines break across missing sessions; one observation appears as a dot.

The recorded outcome follows the call’s original target, deadline and conditions. The price line shows daily closing observations.

33 calls lack a comparable target or source date. Find calls without targets in the creator archive.

Calls, by channel

Choose a creator to read their calls and source evidence.

Meet Kevin11 callsBullish

Kevin views Microsoft as cheaply valued and includes it among quality companies worth owning during the selloff. He argues that delayed spending reflects infrastructure bottlenecks rather than deteriorating AI demand.

Most recent thesisNov 5, 2026Source video

Kevin views Microsoft as cheaply valued and includes it among quality companies worth owning during the selloff. He argues that delayed spending reflects infrastructure bottlenecks rather than deteriorating AI demand.

Earlier theses (9)
BullishNov 3, 2026Source

The host recommends Microsoft within a diversified AI portfolio. He also questions whether lease accounting makes reported free cash flow look stronger than the underlying investment burden.

BullishNov 3, 2026Source

Kevin recommends Microsoft within a diversified AI investment basket. He also questions how lease spending affects the appearance of its free cash flow.

BullishOct 28, 2026Source

The host maintains a positive investment stance toward Microsoft and reports buying the dip as part of diversified AI exposure. He nevertheless argues that investment classifications and longer depreciation schedules make reported financial performance look stronger than the underlying economics.

BullishOct 19, 2026Source

Kevin explicitly favors Microsoft among the well-funded hyperscalers that remain investable with or without an Iran agreement. Its financial resources reduce dependence on an immediate decline in borrowing costs.

BullishOct 19, 2026Source

Kevin explicitly favors Microsoft as a financially strong hyperscaler that remains investable with or without an Iran agreement. He expects its resources to support continued AI infrastructure spending despite stress at smaller providers.

BullishOct 13, 2026Source

Kevin reiterates an outstanding Microsoft share-price target of $562–566 and says the stock is approaching it. His brief discussion of Azure's leadership reorganization adds little substantive change to that investment view.

BullishOct 7, 2026Source

The host explicitly agrees that restrictions on new data center capacity could benefit Microsoft and other established hyperscalers. Existing infrastructure would become more valuable as compute shortages increase pricing power and reduced capital spending limits debt issuance.

Strongly BullishOct 6, 2026Source

The host reiterates a Microsoft price target of 562 and expects a breakout that he believes investors are overlooking. He also includes Microsoft among technology names with substantial enthusiasm still ahead.

BullishOct 2, 2026Source

Kevin expresses a bullish investment stance toward Microsoft as it expands its own voice AI offerings. He sees potential margin benefits from homegrown models while acknowledging that AI could disrupt traditional Office workflows.

Michael Tyler9 callsBullish

The host expects Microsoft to outperform from current levels, citing the contrast between its earnings and those of Alphabet and Meta. His emphasis is on selecting companies with stronger reported results.

Most recent thesisNov 4, 2026Source video

The host expects Microsoft to outperform from current levels, citing the contrast between its earnings and those of Alphabet and Meta. His emphasis is on selecting companies with stronger reported results.

Earlier theses (8)
BullishNov 2, 2026Source

The host explicitly favors Microsoft as one of the best AI investments available. Its free cash flow and limited financing needs underpin his favorable investor stance.

MixedOct 29, 2026Source

The host views Microsoft as relatively resilient compared with Alphabet and suggests its shares could improve in after-hours trading. He also identifies debt financing for capital expenditures as a source of investor concern.

Strongly BullishOct 28, 2026Source

The speaker expects Microsoft to surpass its previous all-time high shortly after strong earnings. He favors its combination of revenue growth, earnings beats, and capital expenditure supported by free cash flow.

BullishOct 28, 2026Source

The host expects Microsoft to have a favorable immediate earnings reaction and prefers its setup to Alphabet's. His rationale centers on positive free cash flow and a stronger ability to finance AI capital spending.

BearishSep 28, 2026Source

The host acknowledges Microsoft's relative resilience during bond-market volatility. He expects elevated yields eventually to pressure its stock alongside other large technology companies.

BearishAug 18, 2026Source

The YouTuber warns that Microsoft's off-balance-sheet purchase commitments (roughly $329 billion) will soon hit its balance sheet, potentially ballooning total debt to $700-800 billion within a couple years and significantly pressuring operating income. He remains generally cautious on hyperscalers, including Microsoft, until spending becomes more sustainable.

BullishJul 29, 2026Source

The host is more optimistic about Microsoft than Meta heading into earnings, citing Microsoft's positive free cash flow position as an advantage that allows spending without heavy dilution or debt. He believes Microsoft is likely to outperform Meta around earnings.

BullishJan 28, 2026Source

Microsoft is positioned well for earnings being down 13% from all-time highs, creating a favorable setup where it won't take as much good news to drive the stock higher compared to companies near highs.

Jo Bhakdi7 callsBullish

The host expects Microsoft to rise further as a relatively safe hyperscaler with existing compute capacity. He nevertheless expects less upside than in his preferred AI infrastructure winners.

Most recent thesisNov 5, 2026Source video

The host expects Microsoft to rise further as a relatively safe hyperscaler with existing compute capacity. He nevertheless expects less upside than in his preferred AI infrastructure winners.

Earlier theses (4)
Strongly BullishNov 2, 2026Source

Microsoft is a preferred lower-risk AI investment with an expected return of at least 50% over twelve months. The host grounds this view in leadership quality and valuation.

Strongly BullishOct 30, 2026Source

The host believes Microsoft is undervalued despite strong earnings and ongoing AI infrastructure demand. He includes it in his forecast of medium-term stock appreciation.

BullishOct 29, 2026Source

The host considers Microsoft's negative stock reaction inconsistent with strong earnings and growth. He expects a strong positive session soon, although he does not hold the stock.

BullishMar 22, 2026Source

Microsoft is participating in orbital data center initiatives and will likely be able to use Starship to create their own orbital data centers, positioning them for the space economy opportunity.

Tom Nash5 callsBullish

Nash recommends Microsoft for cloud exposure within the AI infrastructure theme. His endorsement is brief and contains no individual valuation or return forecast.

Most recent thesisOct 19, 2026Source video

Nash recommends Microsoft for cloud exposure within the AI infrastructure theme. His endorsement is brief and contains no individual valuation or return forecast.

Earlier theses (4)
Strongly BullishJul 27, 2026Source

Nash views Microsoft's 31% drop from highs as a major buying opportunity, citing a $600 billion contracted backlog (up 97%) and consistently improving margins and profits despite lagging the S&P 500. He projects Microsoft will reach $924 per share by 2030, a 142% upside from current levels.

BullishJul 10, 2026Source

Nash expects Microsoft's large AI capital expenditures to generate substantial future financial returns. He regards investor concern about spending as a misunderstanding of the opportunity.

Strongly BullishMay 15, 2026Source

Microsoft's entrenched enterprise software and Azure businesses make it a major AI beneficiary in the host's view. He argues that declining valuation multiples and a falling stock price create a substantial gap relative to his five-year intrinsic-value estimate.

BullishMar 5, 2026Source

Microsoft Azure is cited briefly as another major cloud/AI infrastructure player included among the host's 20 picks expected to dominate the next decade.

Financial Education5 callsMixed

Microsoft could face investor resistance if next year's infrastructure spending materially exceeds expectations. The host considers this an unresolved risk within an otherwise strong AI investment environment.

Most recent thesisSep 24, 2026Source video

Microsoft could face investor resistance if next year's infrastructure spending materially exceeds expectations. The host considers this an unresolved risk within an otherwise strong AI investment environment.

Earlier theses (2)
MixedAug 11, 2026Source

Microsoft is part of the big technology group that could lose investor capital to semiconductors in Q4. Its outlook is complicated by spending and depreciation, with lower yields providing a possible offset.

MixedJul 1, 2026Source

Azure has supported Microsoft's investment case while its software businesses face questions. The host outlines opposing conditional stock outcomes depending on capital spending and raises an unresolved competitive risk from Meta.