30-day window
Direction matched: Not enough observations
4 matched
of 9 observed calls
Rate appears from 10 observations
15 waiting for the window
0 missing price evidence
Inspect the calls
- Matched
- 4
- Moved opposite
- 5
- Flat
- 0
- Waiting for the window
- 15
- Missing price evidence
- 0
- Average direction-adjusted move
- +3.0%
- Published calls on file
- 37
- Excluded from this measurement
- 9
- Additional calls grouped
- 4
One observation per creator, asset and UTC publication day. Conflicting directions on the same day are excluded. Flat observations stay in the denominator. Waiting windows and missing evidence are unknown outcomes.
Example measured calls
- Meet Kevin · MSFTDirection matched
Bullish call · published Oct 6, 2026
- Entry close · Oct 7, 2026
- $529.76
- End close · Nov 6, 2026
- $530.61
Price change +0.2% · Direction-adjusted +0.2%
- Meet Kevin · MSFTDirection matched
Bullish call · published Oct 2, 2026
- Entry close · Oct 5, 2026
- $525.18
- End close · Nov 4, 2026
- $555.80
Price change +5.8% · Direction-adjusted +5.8%
- Michael Tyler · MSFTMoved opposite
Bearish call · published Sep 28, 2026
- Entry close · Sep 29, 2026
- $508.96
- End close · Oct 29, 2026
- $530.14
Price change +4.2% · Direction-adjusted -4.2%
