Behind the video
The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks
Overall Thesis
The host argues the Iran war and broader geopolitical turmoil create a historically bullish setup for U.S. equities, especially AI-infrastructure and robotics-related names. He recommends dollar-cost averaging into the market, avoiding volatile hype/cyclical stocks, and holding a curated list of 20 vertically-integrated AI leaders plus the S&P 500 for the next decade.
Narratives
PLTRPalantirThe host reiterates a pre-war call that Palantir would spike and stay elevated through and after the Iran conflict due to government contracts and commercial tech exposure, and separately projects it reaching a trillion-dollar valuation within a decade as AI adoption continues.
Key Arguments
- Government contract exposure
- Commercial technology exposure
- Relevant 'whatever happens' in war, peace, chaos, or growth markets
GOOGLAlphabet / GoogleGoogle's vertical integration into custom TPUs is cited as driving 50% annual cloud growth and lower costs, supporting the host's view that the stock will be 'massive' going forward.
Key Arguments
- Vertical integration via custom TPUs
- Google Cloud growing ~50% per year
Predictions (1)
AMZNAmazonDespite acknowledging the stock has been flat for five years, the host includes Amazon among his 20 picks expected to dominate the next decade as the largest cloud provider.
Key Arguments
- Largest cloud provider in the world
Risks acknowledged
- Stock price has been flat for roughly five years
Predictions (1)
ORCLOracleOracle's push into cloud database hosting as clients onboard its platform is cited as giving it 'massive' potential within the host's top-20 list.
Key Arguments
- Onboarding database clients onto its own cloud
Predictions (1)
Arista is briefly named as a connectivity infrastructure play included among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Networking/connectivity infrastructure for AI data centers
Predictions (1)
CRWDCrowdStrikeCrowdStrike is named briefly as a cybersecurity infrastructure leader included among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Cybersecurity leadership
Predictions (1)
ASML's monopoly on lithography machines is cited as justification for its inclusion among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Monopoly position in lithography equipment
Predictions (1)
Vertiv is positioned as a cooling/power-infrastructure beneficiary of AI data-center buildout, expected to become 'massive' alongside Constellation Energy.
Key Arguments
- Cooling infrastructure needed for AI data centers
Predictions (1)
MongoDB is named briefly for its database role, included among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Database infrastructure for AI/cloud applications
Predictions (1)
ARMArm HoldingsArm is named as a ground-level semiconductor architecture provider comprising AI chip development, included among the host's top 20 picks.
Key Arguments
- Ground-level chip architecture licensing for AI semiconductors
Predictions (1)
TSLATeslaTesla is framed as the eventual largest humanoid-robotics company due to its vertical integration across batteries, motors, sensors, supply chain and talent, earning it a spot among the host's top 20 picks to dominate the next decade.
Key Arguments
- Vertical integration across batteries, electric motors, vision sensors, supply chain
- Leadership in humanoid robotics secular trend
- Strong management and resources
Predictions (1)
NVDANvidiaNvidia's GPUs are described as irreplaceable AI building blocks that won't be displaced by Google's custom silicon, supporting a bullish long-term view.
Key Arguments
- GPUs remain essential AI infrastructure
- Not meaningfully threatened by Google's TPU vertical integration
Predictions (1)
MSFTMicrosoftMicrosoft Azure is cited briefly as another major cloud/AI infrastructure player included among the host's 20 picks expected to dominate the next decade.
Key Arguments
- Azure cloud platform participation in AI infrastructure build-out
Predictions (1)
TSMC is described as a global semiconductor monopoly, with the host arguing the Iran war reduces geopolitical risk around Taiwan, supporting its inclusion among his top picks.
Key Arguments
- Global semiconductor monopoly
- Reduced Taiwan geopolitical risk per host's separate geopolitical analysis
Predictions (1)
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesAMD is grouped with Nvidia as a chip maker able to thrive together in the growing AI semiconductor market.
Key Arguments
- AI chip market large enough for multiple winners alongside Nvidia
Predictions (1)
ZSZscalerZscaler is named alongside CrowdStrike as a cybersecurity infrastructure leader included among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Cybersecurity leadership
Predictions (1)
Constellation Energy is positioned as a power-infrastructure beneficiary of AI data-center buildout, expected to become 'massive' alongside Vertiv.
Key Arguments
- Power supply needed for AI data centers
Predictions (1)
Datadog is named briefly for its monitoring software role, included among the host's top 20 AI-era picks.
Key Arguments
- Monitoring software for AI/cloud infrastructure
Predictions (1)
Cadence is named as a ground-level semiconductor design tools provider comprising AI chip development, included among the host's top 20 picks.
Key Arguments
- Ground-level semiconductor design tooling for AI chips
Predictions (1)
The host calls the S&P 500 an unbeatable 'cheat code' that compounds at roughly 10% annually, doubling investor capital over time, and recommends it be a massive core component of every portfolio, especially during and after geopolitical crises.
Key Arguments
- Historically positive post-crisis/war stock-market returns (83% hit rate, ~22% average gain over 12 months after two consecutive 5% oil-price-spike days)
- Missing the market's top 10 days over 20 years costs roughly half of total returns
- Top 1% of portfolios largely stayed invested through COVID per Vanguard data
Predictions (1)
Hedges & Caveats
- Explicitly says near-term (next 2 years) outcomes are unpredictable
- Notes correlation, not causation, between oil spikes and subsequent stock returns
- Frames the trillion-dollar Palantir call as conditional on AI remaining relevant
- Emphasizes long-term (5-10+ year) horizon rather than short-term timing