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Micron (MU)

How the view evolved

Jo Bhakdi on MU

Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on MU — 34 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
MUMicron Technology
BullishElon Says The AI Buildout STALLS in 2027 - Why SpaceX SurvivesNov 3, 2026
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The host endorses Micron as a good investment and recommends retaining some exposure for diversification. He favors SpaceX more heavily but argues that Micron's American identity provides a structural advantage among memory investments.

Key arguments

  • He calls Micron a very good investment.
  • Retaining Micron can diversify SpaceX-specific price fluctuations.
  • He considers its American identity a structural advantage.
  • He currently has a short-put position despite being underwater.

Risks acknowledged

  • His Micron position is underwater and the shares are weak during the broadcast.
MixedHow the Midterm Will Impact AI Stocks: SPCX, TSLA, MU, NVDA, METANov 2, 2026
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Micron is considered substantially undervalued over a year, supported by hard-to-replicate memory technology and market positioning. The host distrusts its short-term trading behavior and sees considerable downside risk before the long-term thesis plays out.

Key arguments

  • HBM capabilities and limited competition support long-term investment value.
  • He includes Micron in his current unleveraged buying recommendation.
  • He expects a substantial rise within a year, although the captioned target is malformed.

Risks acknowledged

  • Short-term volatility makes short-put strategies dangerous.
  • The stock could fall to 710.
  • He finds management less impressive than leadership at his other AI favorites.
BullishNEW SpaceX Leak Shows MASSIVE Cash Flood ComingNov 1, 2026
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Host expects Micron shares to rise roughly 2.5x as part of his broader bullish AI-memory thesis, also referencing a separate brief arguing Chinese memory competition won't pressure Micron lower.

Key arguments

  • Grouped with other AI-infrastructure winners expected to re-rate higher
  • Pioneer Brief piece argues Chinese memory competition won't bring Micron down
Strongly BullishWhy The Stock Market Panic Is FAKE: Understand NVDA, META, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, SPCX and TSLAOct 30, 2026
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The host argues Micron's selloff contradicts evidence of persistent memory shortages and high prices. He includes Micron among undervalued stocks expected to rise over the medium term.

Key arguments

  • Intel's comments suggest memory shortages will persist.
  • Higher memory prices support the producer even as they pressure PC manufacturers.
  • Expects Micron's business growth to accelerate sharply.

Risks acknowledged

  • Investors worry about memory cyclicality and falling prices.
  • Short-term selling can overwhelm fundamentals.
BullishWhy Earnings Tsunami DESTROYS AMZN, INTC, AMD And Other AI StocksOct 29, 2026
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The host sees Micron as a value opportunity supported by strong memory demand and earnings potential. He criticizes bearish arguments that simultaneously cite memory shortages for chipmakers and collapsing demand for memory suppliers.

Key arguments

  • He regards DRAM, NAND, and high-bandwidth memory demand as underestimated.
  • He considers the earnings multiple disconnected from earnings growth.
  • He holds a Micron position.

Risks acknowledged

  • Memory investors remain concerned about cyclicality.
  • The market can continue assigning low multiples despite strong earnings.
Strongly BullishWhat Anthropic’s IPO REVEALS About Micron, Nvidia, Space And Other AI StocksOct 26, 2026
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The host presents Micron as an investment beneficiary of expanding AI compute infrastructure. He argues that profitable frontier model economics enable sustained spending by infrastructure customers and explicitly includes Micron in his concluding bullish investment pitch.

Key arguments

  • Accelerating enterprise demand for AI intelligence supports further compute spending.
  • Improving model provider economics could make infrastructure demand more sustainable.
  • Micron is explicitly identified as a supplier benefiting from the infrastructure buildout.

Risks acknowledged

  • Anthropic's ability to maintain its competitive moats is uncertain.
  • The host provides no Micron-specific valuation analysis.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX, Tesla and AI Stocks Could RALLY SoonOct 25, 2026
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The host considers Micron exceptionally undervalued and expects its shares to reach $2,000 within twelve months. His bullish thesis rests on AI memory demand and advantages from US-based supply, but he repeatedly warns that severe volatility can overwhelm leveraged positions.

Key arguments

  • Expanding token demand and constrained compute supply support the AI semiconductor trade.
  • He considers Micron among the most undervalued companies in the market.
  • US operations could benefit from tariffs, supply-chain security and the strategic importance of memory.
  • He holds options exposure and calls Micron a total buy.

Risks acknowledged

  • Memory stocks can fall 50% abruptly.
  • He believes extremely low valuation multiples are possible during selloffs.
  • Margin and short puts require enough capacity to survive large drawdowns.
  • He anticipates recurring AI-bubble fears.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX And Meta Stocks Are SUPER BARGAINS TodayOct 22, 2026
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The host calls Micron a screaming buy and expects its share price to reach $2,000 within 12 months. He considers its valuation unusually cheap and sees its buyback program as supportive, while acknowledging further short-term selling is possible.

Key arguments

  • Describes Micron as trading at approximately six times forward earnings.
  • Regards the selloff as disconnected from company fundamentals.
  • Expects the substantial buyback program to support the investment case.

Risks acknowledged

  • Another panic could push the stock lower.
  • Describes Micron investors and price behavior as unpredictable.
Strongly BullishTesla Earnings PREVIEW - How The Stock Could MOVEOct 21, 2026
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The host calls Micron a buy and expects AI-related demand to drive the stock to $2,000. He acknowledges that near-term volatility can be severe and warns against margin.

Key arguments

  • SpaceX's expansion confirms strong demand for AI infrastructure.
  • The host views AI bubble concerns as temporary.
  • He describes an overwhelming forcing function behind the $2,000 target.

Risks acknowledged

  • Micron can drop sharply.
  • A further brief sell-off may precede the anticipated rally.
BullishSpaceX Earnings Preview: What Matters MOSTOct 20, 2026
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The host has initiated half of his intended Micron position and believes the stock is bottoming near its current level. He treats its recovery from an early decline as encouraging but acknowledges that renewed panic could produce substantial further downside.

Key arguments

  • The host reports initiating half of his intended position.
  • Micron recovered from an approximately 2% intraday decline.
  • He believes the stock is establishing a bottom.

Risks acknowledged

  • Another panic could drive the stock sharply lower.
  • The broader market's recent volatility may not be fully over.
BullishWhy Tesla Stock Is RALLYING Into EarningsOct 19, 2026
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The host describes Micron as part of a favorable investment environment and reports initiating a substantial position that he may increase further. He argues that concerns about the company conflict with strong demand and constrained supply.

Key arguments

  • The host says his newly initiated position is already approximately his third largest.
  • He is considering moving it to second place behind Tesla.
  • He cites strong demand and constrained supply as evidence against claims of business trouble.

Risks acknowledged

  • Micron shows late-session weakness.
  • Broader market fear and volatility remain elevated.
Strongly BullishCan SpaceX, Tesla And Meta Earnings SAVE The Stock Market?Oct 18, 2026
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The host calls Micron deeply oversold and an attractive potential core holding. He expects substantial stock upside because the memory cycle and AI-driven demand should last longer than investors currently assume.

Key arguments

  • The host believes the market underestimates the duration of the memory cycle.
  • HBM demand and technical fundamentals appear strong.
  • He sees more upside in Micron than in Amazon or Meta and considers reallocating small portions of those holdings.
  • He is considering establishing a strategic position rather than a short-term trade.

Risks acknowledged

  • Micron may sell off further.
  • Memory stocks have cyclical risk.
  • Short-term entry prices cannot be predicted reliably.
Strongly BullishAre Tesla, SpaceX, Micron, Nvidia and AI Stocks going to CRASH?Oct 14, 2026
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The host regards Micron as undervalued with strong earnings prospects and expects shares to exceed $2,000 within 12 months. He has expanded exposure through short puts but acknowledges sharp downside and unusually high volatility.

Key arguments

  • The host describes earnings as tremendous and valuation as too low.
  • He dismisses competitive concerns about Chinese memory production.
  • He expanded his Micron position during the selloff.
  • He expects sustained AI compute demand to support memory demand.

Risks acknowledged

  • Memory stocks can experience extreme volatility.
  • A broader selloff could deepen the drawdown quickly.
  • His short puts become painful below roughly $895-$900.
Strongly BullishWhy Tesla, SpaceX And Micron Stocks Are Struggling This WeekOct 13, 2026
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The host considers Micron exceptionally undervalued and expects its stock to recover toward 2000 within the next year. He argues that sustained memory demand and contracted future revenue undermine fears of a conventional memory-cycle collapse, but acknowledges extreme short-term downside risk.

Key arguments

  • The host describes very low earnings multiples despite rapid profit growth.
  • AI infrastructure creates strong memory demand and pricing power.
  • Long-term customer contracts provide visibility into future revenue.
  • He regards the reported Chinese competitive breakthrough as insufficient evidence of an imminent supply glut.
  • He reports approximately 12% portfolio exposure through synthetic positions.

Risks acknowledged

  • Chinese memory competition could increase supply and pressure selling prices.
  • Memory has historically experienced severe boom-and-bust cycles.
  • Panic selling could send the stock back toward 700.
  • Poor price discovery makes short-term trading difficult.
MixedWhy I Am BULLISH Again On SpaceX StockOct 12, 2026
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The host includes Micron in his bullish long-term AI-stock thesis but reports losing money on a trade. He praises its fundamentals and buybacks while saying its stock behavior is too erratic for him to trade effectively.

Key arguments

  • Micron is named among core AI beneficiaries expected to generate substantial stock gains.
  • He describes the fundamentals as beautiful and notes a large buyback program.
  • He sees a difficult mix of conservative cyclical investors and speculative traders.

Risks acknowledged

  • His recent Micron trade lost money.
  • He says he lacks control over the stock's trading behavior.
  • Strong fundamentals have not produced a manageable tactical trade.
Strongly BullishWhat Led to Today's FAKE Micron, Nvidia and Tesla Stock SelloffOct 8, 2026
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The host considers Micron deeply undervalued and views the day's decline as an opportunity caused by misinterpreted OpenAI revenue reporting. He expects a quick recovery but recognizes broader market risk.

Key arguments

  • The host attributes the apparent OpenAI revenue shortfall to gross versus net reporting differences.
  • He describes Micron as incredibly cheap and undervalued.
  • He holds a tactical bullish short-put position with a buffer.
  • He argues that uninformed market participants create exploitable price distortions.

Risks acknowledged

  • A seasonal correction could hit semiconductor and other momentum stocks.
  • OpenAI has genuine competitive and financing risks.
BullishWhy SpaceX Stock Will DROP MORE This WeekOct 7, 2026
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The host endorses his substantial bullish Micron exposure through short puts and regards the recent sharp decline as excessive. He celebrates the subsequent rebound but only attributes the $3,000 target to an analyst.

Key arguments

  • Micron is his third-largest position.
  • He considers the selloff associated with a Taiwan strike excessive.
  • Micron's rebound offset losses elsewhere in his portfolio.

Risks acknowledged

  • The shares initially fell sharply after he established the position.
  • The cited $3,000 analyst target is not independently adopted as his own target.
MixedWhy Tesla Cybercab Is About To EXPLODEOct 6, 2026
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The host describes Micron as having suffered during the momentum-stock selloff and subsequently recovered. He also says his own Micron holdings are currently somewhat down, without making a clear forward prediction.

Key arguments

  • Micron experienced weakness during the broader momentum-stock decline.
  • The host describes a recovery from that weakness.
  • His current Micron position is somewhat down.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX Stock Is SKYROCKETINGOct 5, 2026
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The host considers Micron substantially undervalued following strong earnings and expects its favorable business conditions to persist. He reports substantial exposure through short puts, exceeding his NVIDIA exposure on a net basis.

Key arguments

  • The host describes Micron's earnings as exceptionally strong.
  • Difficulty obtaining RAM supports the memory-demand thesis.
  • His short-put positions create substantial bullish exposure.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX and Tesla Are Moving Into POLE POSITIONOct 4, 2026
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The host views Micron as dramatically mispriced because persistent AI memory shortages create favorable demand and supply conditions. He expects the shares eventually to reach $2,000 while warning that volatility could produce a rapid fall to $700.

Key arguments

  • Tesla's reduction of planned AI5 memory is interpreted as evidence of sustained memory scarcity.
  • Physical AI scaling should generate significant memory demand.
  • The host owns Micron and considers himself relatively knowledgeable about the company.
  • He regards Micron's valuation as inconsistent with AI-related growth and demand.
  • A possible December buyback is mentioned as a potential catalyst, pending further research.

Risks acknowledged

  • Micron is highly volatile and could fall to $700 quickly.
  • The host has not verified whether the proposed December buyback will occur.
  • Memory constraints can bottleneck customers' AI deployments.
Strongly BullishWhy Tesla and SpaceX Stocks ROCKET UP TodayOct 2, 2026
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The host considers Micron undervalued despite strong earnings and believes AI memory supply concerns support its investment case. He argues that long-term contracts reduce some of the uncertainty associated with the company's cyclical business.

Key arguments

  • The host describes recent earnings as exceptionally strong.
  • He says 36% of revenue through 2030 is secured through long-term contracts.
  • He interprets efforts to reduce AI hardware memory requirements as evidence of durable supply constraints.
  • He holds exposure through short puts.

Risks acknowledged

  • Micron is cyclical.
  • The host explicitly advises caution.
NeutralWill Tesla Deliveries CRASH The Stock Tmw?Oct 2, 2026
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The host describes Micron's earnings as exceptionally strong. He uses Micron as an example of how strong operating results may already be priced in and how investors can discount future growth.

Key arguments

  • He says Micron exceeded earnings expectations.
  • He cites Micron when explaining that strong revenue or profit does not necessarily produce an immediate favorable stock reaction.

Risks acknowledged

  • Strong reported results may already be incorporated into valuation.
  • Investors may question the durability and scalability of compute-related earnings.
BullishTesla Cybercab Just DOUBLED - Will It Now SCALE?Sep 27, 2026
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The host regards Micron as insulated from the pricing pressure that cheaper AI models impose on model providers. His argument is that lower token costs support additional compute buildout.

Key arguments

  • The host explicitly says token deflation does not put pressure on Micron.
  • Greater AI usage requires more compute infrastructure.

Risks acknowledged

  • Model providers face pricing pressure.
  • No Micron-specific financial analysis is provided.
NeutralThe SECRET PLAN Behind Tesla TerafabSep 18, 2026
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Micron is discussed as a dominant, uncompetable leader in memory chip manufacturing that may eventually join the Terrafab ecosystem as a partner rather than being replaced by Tesla/SpaceX.

Key arguments

  • No one can compete with Micron in memory, according to the speaker.
  • The speaker speculates Micron could soon be announced as part of the Terrafab partnership.
MixedWhy Elon's NEW WARNING About ASI Doom Is SERIOUSSep 12, 2026
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Asked how a pause on AI development would affect his Micron position, the host suggested Micron would see a short-term crash from market panic but would remain fine longer-term due to continued massive inference compute buildout. He views Micron as less exposed than Nvidia to any AI-pacing fallout.

Key arguments

  • Micron seen as less affected than Nvidia by any AI training pacing/pause
  • Expects a short-term crash from market panic if pacing escalates, but longer-term stability due to inference compute buildout

Risks acknowledged

  • Short-term panic-driven selling is acknowledged as a real risk
BearishHow DOOMERS Will CHANGE SpaceX and AGISep 10, 2026
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Joe groups Micron with the broader memory/semiconductor space that he expects the market to overreact against once fears of an AI training buildout halt spread, likely by around 2028. He separately notes Micron dropped on news of an Intel-funded RAM manufacturing venture that he views skeptically.

Key arguments

  • He expects the market to overreact on memory stocks like Micron amid AI-doom/regulation narrative.
  • He views the Intel-funded Kepler RAM venture news, which coincided with a Micron drop, as 'a little scammy' or dubious.
BullishWhy I am BULLISH on Tesla Stock AgainAug 16, 2026
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The speaker maintains a synthetically leveraged long position in Micron via short puts, expressing continued bullishness despite a rough patch in July tied to the broader momentum-stock selloff.

Key arguments

  • Holds Micron as one of his core AI-related stocks alongside Nvidia and Tesla.
  • Uses short-put strategies to maintain synthetic leveraged long exposure to Micron.

Risks acknowledged

  • Acknowledges July was a tough period for Micron amid the broader momentum-stock unwind.
NeutralWhy I am LOADING UP On Tesla StockJul 31, 2026
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The host mentions he took a Micron trade that didn't perform well during the recent sell-off, describing it as roughly breakeven with no real alpha generated.

Key arguments

  • Trade broke roughly even amid the market-wide sell-off
Strongly BullishWhy the FED Just SAVED Us - And What Meta and Microsoft Earnings Could TRIGGERJul 29, 2026
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Jo argues Micron is irrationally oversold given its earnings trajectory, calling it a 'screaming buy' and 'generational buying opportunity' despite a brutal short-term selloff with no fundamental justification. He notes the stock trades at a very low forward P/E despite projected massive earnings growth through 2029.

Key arguments

  • Forward P/E under 7 despite ~300% earnings growth
  • SK Hynix earnings the prior day were good for Micron, no oversupply signs
  • Projected ~$600 billion in cumulative earnings by 2029, largely locked in
  • Selloff is driven by irrational panic/margin liquidation, not fundamentals

Risks acknowledged

  • Could be a cyclical top in earnings
  • Stock has 'passed the threshold of sanity' and margin positions are risky
Strongly BullishWhy Tomorrow Is PIVOTAL for Tesla, Micron And The MarketJul 28, 2026
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Joe views Micron's sell-off as irrational given surging DRAM/HBM demand that is expected to outstrip supply well into 2028, and believes the stock trades at an absurdly cheap valuation relative to its earnings power. He holds Micron as his biggest personal position and plans to keep it through upcoming Fed and earnings catalysts.

Key arguments

  • New 2027 DRAM data shows HBM demand absorbing new supply, worsening industry sufficiency ratio
  • Micron trades at roughly a 4x forward P/E, implying it could earn back nearly half its market cap in two years
  • Chinese peer CXMT's $500B valuation implies Micron, with far more scale, is undervalued

Risks acknowledged

  • Cycle top concerns among traders who sell high-PE cyclicals expecting a peak
  • Entire semiconductor sector (SOX) trading below 50-day moving averages amid panic
BullishWhy THIS STRATEGY Outperformed Tesla Stock by over 30%Dec 22, 2025
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Micron is called out as a predictable AGI-era winner, and its stock has already rallied after earnings as the host anticipated.

Key arguments

  • Enormous demand for Micron Technologies was predictable
  • Micron is up a lot after earnings, validating the call
Strongly BullishThe Stock Market Just FLIPPED - Prepare for More GAINS in Tesla and AIDec 18, 2025
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Micron reported blowout earnings with 13 billion dollars quarterly revenue, 68% gross margins, 3.9 billion dollars adjusted free cash flow, and guided next quarter revenue to 18 billion dollars. HBM memory is sold out for 2026 and US-based production gives Micron a strategic onshoring advantage. Stock up 11.58% on the news.

Key arguments

  • Q revenue of 13 billion dollars, next quarter guide 18 billion dollars
  • Gross margins around 68%
  • Adjusted free cash flow of 3.9 billion dollars for the quarter
  • HBM memory sold out for 2026
  • US-based production advantage in Trump onshoring era

Risks acknowledged

  • Strong South Korean competitor exists
  • Not a fully vertically integrated AI solution like Nvidia
BullishHow to Build Your AI Stock Portfolio for MAXIMUM Investment ReturnsNov 18, 2025
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Micron Technology is the American-made memory stacked onto GPUs, a super amazing business in the AI infrastructure theme. One of the great things.

Key arguments

  • American-made memory for GPUs
  • Super amazing business