Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on MU — 34 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
The host endorses Micron as a good investment and recommends retaining some exposure for diversification. He favors SpaceX more heavily but argues that Micron's American identity provides a structural advantage among memory investments.
Key arguments
He calls Micron a very good investment.
Retaining Micron can diversify SpaceX-specific price fluctuations.
He considers its American identity a structural advantage.
He currently has a short-put position despite being underwater.
Risks acknowledged
His Micron position is underwater and the shares are weak during the broadcast.
Micron is considered substantially undervalued over a year, supported by hard-to-replicate memory technology and market positioning. The host distrusts its short-term trading behavior and sees considerable downside risk before the long-term thesis plays out.
Key arguments
HBM capabilities and limited competition support long-term investment value.
He includes Micron in his current unleveraged buying recommendation.
He expects a substantial rise within a year, although the captioned target is malformed.
Risks acknowledged
Short-term volatility makes short-put strategies dangerous.
The stock could fall to 710.
He finds management less impressive than leadership at his other AI favorites.
Host expects Micron shares to rise roughly 2.5x as part of his broader bullish AI-memory thesis, also referencing a separate brief arguing Chinese memory competition won't pressure Micron lower.
Key arguments
Grouped with other AI-infrastructure winners expected to re-rate higher
Pioneer Brief piece argues Chinese memory competition won't bring Micron down
The host argues Micron's selloff contradicts evidence of persistent memory shortages and high prices. He includes Micron among undervalued stocks expected to rise over the medium term.
Key arguments
Intel's comments suggest memory shortages will persist.
Higher memory prices support the producer even as they pressure PC manufacturers.
Expects Micron's business growth to accelerate sharply.
Risks acknowledged
Investors worry about memory cyclicality and falling prices.
The host sees Micron as a value opportunity supported by strong memory demand and earnings potential. He criticizes bearish arguments that simultaneously cite memory shortages for chipmakers and collapsing demand for memory suppliers.
Key arguments
He regards DRAM, NAND, and high-bandwidth memory demand as underestimated.
He considers the earnings multiple disconnected from earnings growth.
He holds a Micron position.
Risks acknowledged
Memory investors remain concerned about cyclicality.
The market can continue assigning low multiples despite strong earnings.
Strongly BullishWhat Anthropic’s IPO REVEALS About Micron, Nvidia, Space And Other AI StocksOct 26, 2026
The host presents Micron as an investment beneficiary of expanding AI compute infrastructure. He argues that profitable frontier model economics enable sustained spending by infrastructure customers and explicitly includes Micron in his concluding bullish investment pitch.
Key arguments
Accelerating enterprise demand for AI intelligence supports further compute spending.
Improving model provider economics could make infrastructure demand more sustainable.
Micron is explicitly identified as a supplier benefiting from the infrastructure buildout.
Risks acknowledged
Anthropic's ability to maintain its competitive moats is uncertain.
The host provides no Micron-specific valuation analysis.
The host considers Micron exceptionally undervalued and expects its shares to reach $2,000 within twelve months. His bullish thesis rests on AI memory demand and advantages from US-based supply, but he repeatedly warns that severe volatility can overwhelm leveraged positions.
Key arguments
Expanding token demand and constrained compute supply support the AI semiconductor trade.
He considers Micron among the most undervalued companies in the market.
US operations could benefit from tariffs, supply-chain security and the strategic importance of memory.
He holds options exposure and calls Micron a total buy.
Risks acknowledged
Memory stocks can fall 50% abruptly.
He believes extremely low valuation multiples are possible during selloffs.
Margin and short puts require enough capacity to survive large drawdowns.
The host calls Micron a screaming buy and expects its share price to reach $2,000 within 12 months. He considers its valuation unusually cheap and sees its buyback program as supportive, while acknowledging further short-term selling is possible.
Key arguments
Describes Micron as trading at approximately six times forward earnings.
Regards the selloff as disconnected from company fundamentals.
Expects the substantial buyback program to support the investment case.
Risks acknowledged
Another panic could push the stock lower.
Describes Micron investors and price behavior as unpredictable.
The host calls Micron a buy and expects AI-related demand to drive the stock to $2,000. He acknowledges that near-term volatility can be severe and warns against margin.
Key arguments
SpaceX's expansion confirms strong demand for AI infrastructure.
The host views AI bubble concerns as temporary.
He describes an overwhelming forcing function behind the $2,000 target.
Risks acknowledged
Micron can drop sharply.
A further brief sell-off may precede the anticipated rally.
The host has initiated half of his intended Micron position and believes the stock is bottoming near its current level. He treats its recovery from an early decline as encouraging but acknowledges that renewed panic could produce substantial further downside.
Key arguments
The host reports initiating half of his intended position.
Micron recovered from an approximately 2% intraday decline.
He believes the stock is establishing a bottom.
Risks acknowledged
Another panic could drive the stock sharply lower.
The broader market's recent volatility may not be fully over.
The host describes Micron as part of a favorable investment environment and reports initiating a substantial position that he may increase further. He argues that concerns about the company conflict with strong demand and constrained supply.
Key arguments
The host says his newly initiated position is already approximately his third largest.
He is considering moving it to second place behind Tesla.
He cites strong demand and constrained supply as evidence against claims of business trouble.
Risks acknowledged
Micron shows late-session weakness.
Broader market fear and volatility remain elevated.
The host calls Micron deeply oversold and an attractive potential core holding. He expects substantial stock upside because the memory cycle and AI-driven demand should last longer than investors currently assume.
Key arguments
The host believes the market underestimates the duration of the memory cycle.
HBM demand and technical fundamentals appear strong.
He sees more upside in Micron than in Amazon or Meta and considers reallocating small portions of those holdings.
He is considering establishing a strategic position rather than a short-term trade.
Risks acknowledged
Micron may sell off further.
Memory stocks have cyclical risk.
Short-term entry prices cannot be predicted reliably.
The host regards Micron as undervalued with strong earnings prospects and expects shares to exceed $2,000 within 12 months. He has expanded exposure through short puts but acknowledges sharp downside and unusually high volatility.
Key arguments
The host describes earnings as tremendous and valuation as too low.
He dismisses competitive concerns about Chinese memory production.
He expanded his Micron position during the selloff.
He expects sustained AI compute demand to support memory demand.
Risks acknowledged
Memory stocks can experience extreme volatility.
A broader selloff could deepen the drawdown quickly.
His short puts become painful below roughly $895-$900.
The host considers Micron exceptionally undervalued and expects its stock to recover toward 2000 within the next year. He argues that sustained memory demand and contracted future revenue undermine fears of a conventional memory-cycle collapse, but acknowledges extreme short-term downside risk.
Key arguments
The host describes very low earnings multiples despite rapid profit growth.
AI infrastructure creates strong memory demand and pricing power.
Long-term customer contracts provide visibility into future revenue.
He regards the reported Chinese competitive breakthrough as insufficient evidence of an imminent supply glut.
He reports approximately 12% portfolio exposure through synthetic positions.
Risks acknowledged
Chinese memory competition could increase supply and pressure selling prices.
Memory has historically experienced severe boom-and-bust cycles.
Panic selling could send the stock back toward 700.
Poor price discovery makes short-term trading difficult.
The host includes Micron in his bullish long-term AI-stock thesis but reports losing money on a trade. He praises its fundamentals and buybacks while saying its stock behavior is too erratic for him to trade effectively.
Key arguments
Micron is named among core AI beneficiaries expected to generate substantial stock gains.
He describes the fundamentals as beautiful and notes a large buyback program.
He sees a difficult mix of conservative cyclical investors and speculative traders.
Risks acknowledged
His recent Micron trade lost money.
He says he lacks control over the stock's trading behavior.
Strong fundamentals have not produced a manageable tactical trade.
The host considers Micron deeply undervalued and views the day's decline as an opportunity caused by misinterpreted OpenAI revenue reporting. He expects a quick recovery but recognizes broader market risk.
Key arguments
The host attributes the apparent OpenAI revenue shortfall to gross versus net reporting differences.
He describes Micron as incredibly cheap and undervalued.
He holds a tactical bullish short-put position with a buffer.
He argues that uninformed market participants create exploitable price distortions.
Risks acknowledged
A seasonal correction could hit semiconductor and other momentum stocks.
OpenAI has genuine competitive and financing risks.
The host endorses his substantial bullish Micron exposure through short puts and regards the recent sharp decline as excessive. He celebrates the subsequent rebound but only attributes the $3,000 target to an analyst.
Key arguments
Micron is his third-largest position.
He considers the selloff associated with a Taiwan strike excessive.
Micron's rebound offset losses elsewhere in his portfolio.
Risks acknowledged
The shares initially fell sharply after he established the position.
The cited $3,000 analyst target is not independently adopted as his own target.
The host describes Micron as having suffered during the momentum-stock selloff and subsequently recovered. He also says his own Micron holdings are currently somewhat down, without making a clear forward prediction.
Key arguments
Micron experienced weakness during the broader momentum-stock decline.
The host describes a recovery from that weakness.
His current Micron position is somewhat down.
Strongly BullishWhy SpaceX Stock Is SKYROCKETINGOct 5, 2026
The host considers Micron substantially undervalued following strong earnings and expects its favorable business conditions to persist. He reports substantial exposure through short puts, exceeding his NVIDIA exposure on a net basis.
Key arguments
The host describes Micron's earnings as exceptionally strong.
Difficulty obtaining RAM supports the memory-demand thesis.
His short-put positions create substantial bullish exposure.
The host views Micron as dramatically mispriced because persistent AI memory shortages create favorable demand and supply conditions. He expects the shares eventually to reach $2,000 while warning that volatility could produce a rapid fall to $700.
Key arguments
Tesla's reduction of planned AI5 memory is interpreted as evidence of sustained memory scarcity.
Physical AI scaling should generate significant memory demand.
The host owns Micron and considers himself relatively knowledgeable about the company.
He regards Micron's valuation as inconsistent with AI-related growth and demand.
A possible December buyback is mentioned as a potential catalyst, pending further research.
Risks acknowledged
Micron is highly volatile and could fall to $700 quickly.
The host has not verified whether the proposed December buyback will occur.
Memory constraints can bottleneck customers' AI deployments.
The host considers Micron undervalued despite strong earnings and believes AI memory supply concerns support its investment case. He argues that long-term contracts reduce some of the uncertainty associated with the company's cyclical business.
Key arguments
The host describes recent earnings as exceptionally strong.
He says 36% of revenue through 2030 is secured through long-term contracts.
He interprets efforts to reduce AI hardware memory requirements as evidence of durable supply constraints.
The host describes Micron's earnings as exceptionally strong. He uses Micron as an example of how strong operating results may already be priced in and how investors can discount future growth.
Key arguments
He says Micron exceeded earnings expectations.
He cites Micron when explaining that strong revenue or profit does not necessarily produce an immediate favorable stock reaction.
Risks acknowledged
Strong reported results may already be incorporated into valuation.
Investors may question the durability and scalability of compute-related earnings.
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The host regards Micron as insulated from the pricing pressure that cheaper AI models impose on model providers. His argument is that lower token costs support additional compute buildout.
Key arguments
The host explicitly says token deflation does not put pressure on Micron.
Greater AI usage requires more compute infrastructure.
Risks acknowledged
Model providers face pricing pressure.
No Micron-specific financial analysis is provided.
Micron is discussed as a dominant, uncompetable leader in memory chip manufacturing that may eventually join the Terrafab ecosystem as a partner rather than being replaced by Tesla/SpaceX.
Key arguments
No one can compete with Micron in memory, according to the speaker.
The speaker speculates Micron could soon be announced as part of the Terrafab partnership.
MixedWhy Elon's NEW WARNING About ASI Doom Is SERIOUSSep 12, 2026
Asked how a pause on AI development would affect his Micron position, the host suggested Micron would see a short-term crash from market panic but would remain fine longer-term due to continued massive inference compute buildout. He views Micron as less exposed than Nvidia to any AI-pacing fallout.
Key arguments
Micron seen as less affected than Nvidia by any AI training pacing/pause
Expects a short-term crash from market panic if pacing escalates, but longer-term stability due to inference compute buildout
Risks acknowledged
Short-term panic-driven selling is acknowledged as a real risk
Joe groups Micron with the broader memory/semiconductor space that he expects the market to overreact against once fears of an AI training buildout halt spread, likely by around 2028. He separately notes Micron dropped on news of an Intel-funded RAM manufacturing venture that he views skeptically.
Key arguments
He expects the market to overreact on memory stocks like Micron amid AI-doom/regulation narrative.
He views the Intel-funded Kepler RAM venture news, which coincided with a Micron drop, as 'a little scammy' or dubious.
The speaker maintains a synthetically leveraged long position in Micron via short puts, expressing continued bullishness despite a rough patch in July tied to the broader momentum-stock selloff.
Key arguments
Holds Micron as one of his core AI-related stocks alongside Nvidia and Tesla.
Uses short-put strategies to maintain synthetic leveraged long exposure to Micron.
Risks acknowledged
Acknowledges July was a tough period for Micron amid the broader momentum-stock unwind.
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The host mentions he took a Micron trade that didn't perform well during the recent sell-off, describing it as roughly breakeven with no real alpha generated.
Key arguments
Trade broke roughly even amid the market-wide sell-off
Strongly BullishWhy the FED Just SAVED Us - And What Meta and Microsoft Earnings Could TRIGGERJul 29, 2026
Jo argues Micron is irrationally oversold given its earnings trajectory, calling it a 'screaming buy' and 'generational buying opportunity' despite a brutal short-term selloff with no fundamental justification. He notes the stock trades at a very low forward P/E despite projected massive earnings growth through 2029.
Key arguments
Forward P/E under 7 despite ~300% earnings growth
SK Hynix earnings the prior day were good for Micron, no oversupply signs
Projected ~$600 billion in cumulative earnings by 2029, largely locked in
Selloff is driven by irrational panic/margin liquidation, not fundamentals
Risks acknowledged
Could be a cyclical top in earnings
Stock has 'passed the threshold of sanity' and margin positions are risky
Joe views Micron's sell-off as irrational given surging DRAM/HBM demand that is expected to outstrip supply well into 2028, and believes the stock trades at an absurdly cheap valuation relative to its earnings power. He holds Micron as his biggest personal position and plans to keep it through upcoming Fed and earnings catalysts.
Key arguments
New 2027 DRAM data shows HBM demand absorbing new supply, worsening industry sufficiency ratio
Micron trades at roughly a 4x forward P/E, implying it could earn back nearly half its market cap in two years
Chinese peer CXMT's $500B valuation implies Micron, with far more scale, is undervalued
Risks acknowledged
Cycle top concerns among traders who sell high-PE cyclicals expecting a peak
Micron reported blowout earnings with 13 billion dollars quarterly revenue, 68% gross margins, 3.9 billion dollars adjusted free cash flow, and guided next quarter revenue to 18 billion dollars. HBM memory is sold out for 2026 and US-based production gives Micron a strategic onshoring advantage. Stock up 11.58% on the news.
Key arguments
Q revenue of 13 billion dollars, next quarter guide 18 billion dollars
Gross margins around 68%
Adjusted free cash flow of 3.9 billion dollars for the quarter
HBM memory sold out for 2026
US-based production advantage in Trump onshoring era
Risks acknowledged
Strong South Korean competitor exists
Not a fully vertically integrated AI solution like Nvidia
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