Jo Bhakdi onMUMicron Technology
Every thesis Jo Bhakdi has voiced on MU — 11 in all, newest first, with the arguments and risks behind each. Reads as the evolution of their view: the bottom is where they started, the top is where they landed.
BullishIs Tesla Stock BACK ON TRACK?Sep 21, 2026
Open source video →Joe calls Micron 'completely undervalued' amid a broader semiconductor rally, though he does not give a specific price target or timeframe.
Key arguments
- Micron is described as still completely undervalued despite a strong recent run.
1 prediction from this thesis
NeutralThe SECRET PLAN Behind Tesla TerafabSep 18, 2026
Open source video →Micron is discussed as a dominant, uncompetable leader in memory chip manufacturing that may eventually join the Terrafab ecosystem as a partner rather than being replaced by Tesla/SpaceX.
Key arguments
- No one can compete with Micron in memory, according to the speaker.
- The speaker speculates Micron could soon be announced as part of the Terrafab partnership.
MixedWhy Elon's NEW WARNING About ASI Doom Is SERIOUSSep 12, 2026
Open source video →Asked how a pause on AI development would affect his Micron position, the host suggested Micron would see a short-term crash from market panic but would remain fine longer-term due to continued massive inference compute buildout. He views Micron as less exposed than Nvidia to any AI-pacing fallout.
Key arguments
- Micron seen as less affected than Nvidia by any AI training pacing/pause
- Expects a short-term crash from market panic if pacing escalates, but longer-term stability due to inference compute buildout
Risks acknowledged
- Short-term panic-driven selling is acknowledged as a real risk
1 prediction from this thesis
BearishHow DOOMERS Will CHANGE SpaceX and AGISep 10, 2026
Open source video →Joe groups Micron with the broader memory/semiconductor space that he expects the market to overreact against once fears of an AI training buildout halt spread, likely by around 2028. He separately notes Micron dropped on news of an Intel-funded RAM manufacturing venture that he views skeptically.
Key arguments
- He expects the market to overreact on memory stocks like Micron amid AI-doom/regulation narrative.
- He views the Intel-funded Kepler RAM venture news, which coincided with a Micron drop, as 'a little scammy' or dubious.
1 prediction from this thesis
BullishWhy I am BULLISH on Tesla Stock AgainAug 16, 2026
Open source video →The speaker maintains a synthetically leveraged long position in Micron via short puts, expressing continued bullishness despite a rough patch in July tied to the broader momentum-stock selloff.
Key arguments
- Holds Micron as one of his core AI-related stocks alongside Nvidia and Tesla.
- Uses short-put strategies to maintain synthetic leveraged long exposure to Micron.
Risks acknowledged
- Acknowledges July was a tough period for Micron amid the broader momentum-stock unwind.
NeutralWhy I am LOADING UP On Tesla StockJul 31, 2026
Open source video →The host mentions he took a Micron trade that didn't perform well during the recent sell-off, describing it as roughly breakeven with no real alpha generated.
Key arguments
- Trade broke roughly even amid the market-wide sell-off
Strongly BullishWhy the FED Just SAVED Us - And What Meta and Microsoft Earnings Could TRIGGERJul 29, 2026
Open source video →Jo argues Micron is irrationally oversold given its earnings trajectory, calling it a 'screaming buy' and 'generational buying opportunity' despite a brutal short-term selloff with no fundamental justification. He notes the stock trades at a very low forward P/E despite projected massive earnings growth through 2029.
Key arguments
- Forward P/E under 7 despite ~300% earnings growth
- SK Hynix earnings the prior day were good for Micron, no oversupply signs
- Projected ~$600 billion in cumulative earnings by 2029, largely locked in
- Selloff is driven by irrational panic/margin liquidation, not fundamentals
Risks acknowledged
- Could be a cyclical top in earnings
- Stock has 'passed the threshold of sanity' and margin positions are risky
3 predictions from this thesis
Strongly BullishWhy Tomorrow Is PIVOTAL for Tesla, Micron And The MarketJul 28, 2026
Open source video →Joe views Micron's sell-off as irrational given surging DRAM/HBM demand that is expected to outstrip supply well into 2028, and believes the stock trades at an absurdly cheap valuation relative to its earnings power. He holds Micron as his biggest personal position and plans to keep it through upcoming Fed and earnings catalysts.
Key arguments
- New 2027 DRAM data shows HBM demand absorbing new supply, worsening industry sufficiency ratio
- Micron trades at roughly a 4x forward P/E, implying it could earn back nearly half its market cap in two years
- Chinese peer CXMT's $500B valuation implies Micron, with far more scale, is undervalued
Risks acknowledged
- Cycle top concerns among traders who sell high-PE cyclicals expecting a peak
- Entire semiconductor sector (SOX) trading below 50-day moving averages amid panic
3 predictions from this thesis
BullishWhy THIS STRATEGY Outperformed Tesla Stock by over 30%Dec 22, 2025
Open source video →Micron is called out as a predictable AGI-era winner, and its stock has already rallied after earnings as the host anticipated.
Key arguments
- Enormous demand for Micron Technologies was predictable
- Micron is up a lot after earnings, validating the call
Strongly BullishThe Stock Market Just FLIPPED - Prepare for More GAINS in Tesla and AIDec 18, 2025
Open source video →Micron reported blowout earnings with 13 billion dollars quarterly revenue, 68% gross margins, 3.9 billion dollars adjusted free cash flow, and guided next quarter revenue to 18 billion dollars. HBM memory is sold out for 2026 and US-based production gives Micron a strategic onshoring advantage. Stock up 11.58% on the news.
Key arguments
- Q revenue of 13 billion dollars, next quarter guide 18 billion dollars
- Gross margins around 68%
- Adjusted free cash flow of 3.9 billion dollars for the quarter
- HBM memory sold out for 2026
- US-based production advantage in Trump onshoring era
Risks acknowledged
- Strong South Korean competitor exists
- Not a fully vertically integrated AI solution like Nvidia
BullishHow to Build Your AI Stock Portfolio for MAXIMUM Investment ReturnsNov 18, 2025
Open source video →Micron Technology is the American-made memory stacked onto GPUs, a super amazing business in the AI infrastructure theme. One of the great things.
Key arguments
- American-made memory for GPUs
- Super amazing business